Drogba Raring To Go After watching from the stands thus far through suspension in this years champions league, a fired up and raring to go Didier Drogba will return to Chelsea's champions league starting lineup on Tuesday and that won't be good news for new Atletico manager Quique Sanchez Flores as he tries to turn around Atletico's woeful season. Champions League new boys Wolfsburg travel to Besiktas without their big Brazilian striker Grafite but the match is still likely to produce goals with Martins, his likely replacement high in confidence after a brace at the weekend. Barca travel to a freezing Russia looking for payback on wednesday and Kazan could be good value picks to take a point as struggling Liverpool under a manager who has lost the plot travel to Lyon to try and keep their slim champions league hopes alive..... Click bottom link for expert value champions league betting picks

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Betting Symbols Guide

Selection: Milan vs Madrid

Bet: Milan win (draw no bet)

Info: Real Madrid in poor form at the moment still without Ronaldo and still all over the place at the back despite 2 recent clean sheets. Inzaghi and Pato can exploit their weaknesses and the rest should be defensively strong enough to cope

Confidence: 70% Stake: 3.75pts Odds: 1/1 Book: Boylesports

Selection: Milan vs Madrid

Bet: Inzaghi anytime scorer (VOID non starter)

Info: As mentioned, Madrid's defense is still suffering and Inzaghi is good value to capitalise with his clever running off the shoulder of his opponents and top finishing.

Confidence: 55% Stake: 2.25pts Odds: 9/4 Book: Bet365

Selection: Atletico vs Chelsea

Bet: Drogba anytime scorer

Info: As mentioned earlier, Drogba is back and keen to make up for lost time and the Atletico Madrid defense struggles to cope with pacey strikers as well as in the air

Confidence: 55% Stake: 2.25pts Odds: 15/8 Book: Coral

Selection: Besiktas vs Wolfsburg

Bet: Over 2.5 goals

Info: Very open game 2 weeks ago in Germany and likely to be the same in the return leg with Wolfsburg only knowing how to play 1 way. No Grafite but Martins got a couple at the weekend and confidence is high beside the goal machine Dzeko. Bobo and Nihat can exploit the space left by the Wolfsburg defense.

Confidence: 75% Stake: 4pts Odds: 19/20 Book: Betfair

Selection: Double

Bet: Sevilla win vs VFB, UTD corner handicap (-3.5) vs CSKA

Info: VFB languishing in the bottom half of the Bundesliga and lacking firepower. Sevilla flying high with goal threats all over the pitch. UTD will start fast against the Russians trying to get an early goal and the likes of Valencia will be firing in the crosses from the byline

Confidence: 70% Stake: 4pts Odds: 6/4 Book: Hills

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Golf Player Profiles

Please note that player attribute ratings are derived from the official PGA Tour and European Tour golf stats, and updated with a rolling average each golf betting year for precision.

Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the increasingly popular annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges and runs the Sharp Sports Bettors Blog.

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan also pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating. For example: Sam Horsfield at Celtic Manor vs TPC Southwind. This number will also portray ability level in terms of strokes gained total. Click "find out more" under the course fit golf betting model for info.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Note: all the most accurate up to date player and course data to input into this interactive golf betting model is in the NicsPicks Course Fit Manual 2022

My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats... find out more

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds. For example - a player shows form of T40 - 24 - 24, but last week he was in the leading PGA Tour group on Sunday with Tiger Woods and had a bad round due to nerves. His finishing position may not fully capture his actual form... See more with our calculators and betting tools

Progressive Form Golf Betting Model

To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

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