Premiership/European football betting Oct 31st

Torres Can Down Fulham It's been a tough run for Liverpool over the last month but with Torres back and fresh off a goal against their biggest premiership rivals last week, I fully expect him to add to that on a ground that gives up chances in Craven Cottage, against an understrength Fulham side. Torres' old club Atletico Madrid have had a woelful start to the Primera league spanish football season and face another tough test away to Bilbao where Llorente looks a good value pick to hit the net. A struggling of late Real Madrid take on a tricky Getafe side in a game that could produce goals and back to the Premiership, the game of the weekend sees Spurs travel to their Massive premier league rivals Arsenal in a fixture that saw 8 goals last year, no doubt a treat for the punters! Stay tuned for English Premier league/ European football expert value betting picks...


FREE expert premiership/euro football value picks:
Symbols Guide

Selection: Arsenal vs Spurs

Bet: Van Persie anytime scorer

Info: Looking very sharp of late and this game could turn out to be very open. Fixture last year ended 4-4.

Confidence: 55-60% Stake: 2.5pts Odds: 8/5 Book: Expekt

Selection: Fulham vs Liverpool

Bet: 2.75pts Torres anytime scorer - 1.25pts Torres brace

Info: Fresh off the back of a winner against UTD, Torres will get chances at Craven Cottage and could really punish Fulham

Confidence: 70% / 25% Stake: 4pts(total) Odds: 11/10- 6/1 Book: Hills

Selection: Bolton vs chelsea

Bet: Score/win double - Drogba/Chelsea

Info: Chelsea just destroyed Bolton midweek in the carling cup with Drogba on the scoresheet and swine flu hit Bolton will likely suffer more of the same come the weekend

Confidence: 65-70% Stake: 2.75ptsOdds: 8/5 Book: Bluesq

Selection: Bundesliga Double

Bet: Dortmund win vs Hertha/Hamburg win vs Monchengladbach

Info: 2 away teams seriously struggling for goals this season and in real threat of the drop. Marcus Berg and Hamburg are in flying form.

Confidence: 65% Stake: 3.25ptsOdds: 23/20 Book: Betdaq

Selection: Atlethic Bilbao vs Atletico

Bet: Fernando Llorente anytime scorer

Info: Shambles in defense at the moment are Atletico and the big man is bound to get chances. Seriously weak in the air at the back and Llorente is at his strongest with the ball off the deck.

Confidence: 60% Stake: 2.5 ptsOdds: 15/8 Book: Coral

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Please note that player attribute ratings are derived from the official PGA Tour and European Tour golf stats, and updated with a rolling average each golf betting year for precision.


Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the increasingly popular annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges and runs the Sharp Sports Bettors Blog.

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan also pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating. For example: Sam Horsfield at Celtic Manor vs TPC Southwind. This number will also portray ability level in terms of strokes gained total. Click "find out more" under the course fit golf betting model for info.

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Note: all the most accurate up to date player and course data to input into this interactive golf betting model is in the NicsPicks Course Fit Manual 2022


My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats... find out more

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds. For example - a player shows form of T40 - 24 - 24, but last week he was in the leading PGA Tour group on Sunday with Tiger Woods and had a bad round due to nerves. His finishing position may not fully capture his actual form... See more with our calculators and betting tools

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To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

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