CHAMPIONS LEAGUE BETTING Oct 20-21st

Rangers should pick up 3 pointsValue in home wins
Full fixture list of UEFA football this midweek with the Champions league and the Europa leauge swinging back into action and there is some good value with siding for the home sides with the 2 Scottish giants, Rangers and Celtic being the picks of the bunch (in terms of value) in their respective competitions. AC Milan look a good value bet to win on the handicap in Madrid with Ronaldo out and Bordeaux are a nice price to upset injury hit Bayern Munich... Click link for expert Value Champions/Europa league picks ....

FREE expert VALUE Champions league/Europa picks:(last updated 2:00 21oct 09)
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Selection: Real Madrid vs AC Milan

Bet: Inzaghi anytime scorer

Info: Milan will be perfectly set up to cut the woeful Madrid defense up on the counter. They WILL create chances and 4/1 is massive value that Inzaghi will take at least 1.

Strength: 5/10 Stake: 2pts Odds: 4/1 Book: Extrabet

Selection: Wolfsburg vs Besiktas

Bet: Wolfsburg corner handicap (-1)

Info: Wolfsburg's fast all action up and at them attacking game with the 2 big pacey strikers often getting in behind usually results in a high home corner count and with nihat likely to be playing up top for Besiktas, they may be forced to play deep

Strength: 80% Stake: 4.5pts Odds: 8/11 Book: Hills


Selection: Rangers vs Unirea

Bet: Score/win double - Boyd/Rangers (VOID - Non Runner)

Info: Strongly fancy a home win and while 5/6 is a good price, with Boyd scoring in most of Ranger's victories, 10/3 is better value on the score/win double

Strength: 45-50% Stake: 2.25pts Odds: 10/3 Book: Bluesq

Selection: Rangers vs Unirea

Bet: Rangers Corner handicap (-1)

Info: With Unirea sitting deep and the atmosphere expected at Ibrox, Rangers should start fast and get a lot of balls into the box

Strength: 75-80% Stake: 4.25pts Odds:5/6 Book: Hills


Selection: Wolfsburg vs Besiktas

Bet: Score/Win double - Dzeko/Wolfsburg

Info: Wolfsburg formidable at home, Dzeko on a real hot streak and Besiktas are struggling for form this season

Strength: 60-65% Stake: 3pts Odds: 6/4 Book: Bluesq

Selection: Real madrid vs AC Milan

Bet: Milan win (+1) handicap

Info: Real Madrid without Ronaldo and seriously vulnerable on the counter. Milan set up perfectly to play them with inzaghi likely to be on target on the counter

Strength: 50-55% Stake: 2.25pts Odds: 9/5 Book: PaddyPower

Selection: Celtic vs Hamburg

Bet: Celtic win

Info: Celtic formidable record at home in Europe and Hamburg will be without their 2 main strikers for the forseeable future

Strength: 60% Stake: 2.5pts Odds: 9/4 Book: PaddyPower

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Please note that player attribute ratings are derived from the official PGA Tour and European Tour golf stats, and updated with a rolling average each golf betting year for precision.


Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the increasingly popular annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges and runs the Sharp Sports Bettors Blog.

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan also pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating. For example: Sam Horsfield at Celtic Manor vs TPC Southwind. This number will also portray ability level in terms of strokes gained total. Click "find out more" under the course fit golf betting model for info.

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My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats... find out more

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds. For example - a player shows form of T40 - 24 - 24, but last week he was in the leading PGA Tour group on Sunday with Tiger Woods and had a bad round due to nerves. His finishing position may not fully capture his actual form... See more with our calculators and betting tools

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