Ras al Khaimah Championship

Pablo Larrazabal will be looking to build on a solid event at the Dubai Desert Classic but the big hitters have the advantage at Ras al Khaimah

Last week was a bit better than the previous  week with nine selections backed across the two main golf tours, here and on SBK. Four out of the nine selections placed in the top 10 at average odds of around 6.60. 

I'm a bit pushed for time this week so it's just a quick gloss over and a few picks for the Ras Al Kaimah event. Truth be told I'm still not that familiar with the course after two previous renewals but there is an obvious enough theme showing that big hitting and birdie making are the premiums with the last three tournaments played on the (resort style) course having been won in scores averaging around -20.

Straight to the picks and theres a quartet from me here. All showed signs of form last week and or has course history........

(odds quoted are the general prices across oddschecker)

0.5u win Alejandro del Rey 33/1, 1u top 10 9/2
0.5u win Pablo Larrazabal 40/1, 1u top 10 9/2
0.5u win Richard Mansell 40/1, 1u top 10 9/2
0.5u win Callum Shinkwin 66/1, 1u top 10 9/2

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Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges.

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating.

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Input up to date player and course data (from the upcoming course fit manual 2024) into this interactive golf betting model. My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats.

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds.

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To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

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