Few thoughts and possible plays for Mallorca and the Zozo Champs
Mornings chaps, bit of a quiet one this week with two shall we say so-so main golf events for betting purposes. It's been a while since I stayed mostly in the higher echelons of the market in a full field event but in Mallorca I do have some guys I think may contend around the 33s mark. Don't be too quick to poo poo prices in the top tier, it's all relative to field strength. The main problem here could be the wind which is what I would be worried about when backing somewhat shorter prices.
Anyway I've nailed down a handful of guys who are scoring high on my progressive form model (yes I have an actual model for my sins) and these guys theoretically should be there or thereabouts. Course info is a little scarce but I've got a mix of playing styles: Wilco Nienaber 33s, Alex Bjork 28s, Romain Langasque 40s, JB Hansen 33s have all been playing well for a few weeks now. Pablo Larrazabal has too but at 28/33s I don't mind passing there. It's Just Nino Bertasio at around 100s is a longshot I want onside and I'm going to have a few shillings on my man Gavin Green too who is fiiiiinally finding a bit of form. Another FRLdar perhaps?
The Zozo championship is at Accordia Narashino which I call Asia's Firestone. It was soft and mild here in 2019 and it was all about tee to green and high approach proximity to the hole - Hideki style. Keegan Bradley - a poor man's Hideki even put in a low one. I never understood this phrase but to make a long story boring....Will Zalatoris 18s, Joaquin Niemann 20s, and Emilliano Grillo 40s all fit the profile in a half field event and all have been simmering of late. Grillo closed with a 61 last week.
Of the outsiders for the sub markets and a sprinkle ew on the outright, on the radar are Sung Kang 125s, Adam Long 150s, and Matt Jones 80s. Long has that exact Hideki/Keegan style straight and high tee to green flight we are looking for here and he can chuck in the odd low one. Sung Kang is forever underrated by the market. We have been on him the last few weeks and I made him around half his OP. He was FRL 2 weeks ago at Shriners with a 61 and threw in a 64 last week for good measure. FRLs on Long and Kang too
All the best as we come towards the end of a great season