Ryder Cup Betting Tips 2021

Basically for me Ryder Cup betting is all about dutching various markets. This means backing multiple selections in markets with a proportional outlay so that if anyone of your selections wins we would get the same return. 

We can really narrow down the field/markets in the Ryder Cup. For starters, it pays to have an idea of who the players are that will play the majority if not all 5 games

For example: dutching the outright scores on the US side as I've mentioned as my main bet in the outright preview at 16:12, 15.5:12.5 and 15:13 would return nearly 3/1 should 1 of those scorelines win.

I'll personally be using this Ryder Cup betting strategy in both the Top European market and the US Top Rookie market. It's a favourite backing strategy and sometimes that's the best plan of action.

Backing Jon Rahm, Rory McIlroy and Victor Hovland in a dutch bet for top Euro pays a shade over evens. These are three most likely to play all 5 matches or at least 4. All have strong course fit and can play any format with any player no problem.

In the Top US Rookie market only really Patrick Cantlay and Xander Schauffele stand out for similar reasons as above. Again they are the two faves at 3/1 each and dutching them pays evens.

For top US Points scorer I like Justin Thomas who will likely partner Jordan Spieth. Again Thomas is the fave at around 13/2 but if you back him each way it's a strong potential bet to nothing or freerolling the winner. Obviously you lose if he doesn't perform

In play Ryder cup betting

I'll be doing a similar Ryder cup 2021 dutching strategy on the individual days scorelines by backing a couple of scorelines in favour of the US side: eg: backing the US to win day 1 5:3 (60% of stake) or 5.5:2.5 (40% of stake) also pays just under 3/1. If you are a more advanced player you can do this on the exchange and trade the correct score markets.

For in play matches I'll be targeting underdogs. For the fave / longshot bias truthers there will be plenty of value with the dogs so don't worry about that theory. I'll be playing the course fit angle and backing against the shorter more conservative players, siding with bombers and birdie makers at odds against. Be selective and don't take any odds on faves which is usually a - EV or at best neutral strategy in golf match betting. Be a little more careful in the foursomes with the errant guys. Dependent on price if we see a fourball (not foursomes) match fave in the form of Big Tony and Bryson for example, this would likely be an exception against the rule. 

Dutching betting strat is covered in my new golf betting book: ANGLES & EDGES

Angles and edges book

If you enjoyed this preview there's plenty on what's behind my methodology and thought process, plus loads more in my golf betting book "Angles & Edges"....

Winning golf betting tips? If you'd like to support me with a beer or 2 from your winnings, I'd love if you Buy me a beer here, through the image, or revolut me @Bryannich

Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges.

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Input up to date player and course data (from the upcoming course fit manual 2024) into this interactive golf betting model. My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats.

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds.

Interactive Progressive Form Golf Betting Model

To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

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