Waste Management Phoenix Open Tips and Golf Betting Preview - Sky's The Limit

Those with a sky high trajectory approach with the irons will have an advantage at TPC Scottsdale

Prepare for the "Greatest show on grass" as the Waste Management Phoenix Open hits town.

New: Click here for Waste Management Phoenix Open 2021 Tips Guide

Waste Management Phoenix Open target proflie:

Relatively long and relatively straight, with a main course of high trajectory approaches gets it done at TPC Scottsdale. Desert style golf exp and TPC Scottsdale experience itself an advantage. You got to take the risk to get the reward here.

The course - TPC Scottsdale Par 71, 7261

Key features: Desert terrain. Immaculate soccer stadium like aesthetics, Risk reward theme especially on the back 9 (the scoring 9). Raucous crowds especially around signature stadium hole - par 3 16th.

Premium on: Total driving, Strokes gained approach, Proximity to the hole, high ball flight on approach

Chicken nuggets:

Always reminds me of my pitch and putt days - pins hidden behind frontal bunkers and must come in super high with spin control. Many PGA Tour pros reside or have connections to Scottsdale. Jon Rahm unfortunately practices here a lot. Tony Finau always seems to play badly here (Distance control problems).

Waste management Phoenix Open Key Metric leaders

Proximity to the hole 2019

TPC Scottsdale specialists: Martin Laird, Bubba Watson, JB. Hideki, Rickie Fowler

Waste Management Phoenix Open Rankings
(est. win odds to 100% fair book)
1. Justin Thomas 10/1
2. Jon Rahm 10/1
3. Rickie fowler 12/1
4. Hideki Matsuyama 12/1
5. Xander Schauffele 16/1
6. Webb simpson 20/1
7. Mailing list pick....
8. Gary woodland 25/1
9. Byeong Hun an 28/1
10. Bryson De Chambeau 30/1....

Waste Management Phoenix Open tips:

Click here >> to see the different promos Betway are offering

Featured Tip 1: Rickie Fowler 16/1, FRL
Featured Tip 2: Byeong Hun An 80/1, FRL
Tip 3: members email only
Tip 4: members email only

*Join the members mailing list >> for all Waste Management Phoenix Open tips, best odds and target markets and shortlists feature by email

If you are betting Each Way on the golf this season, Betfair go EW 1/5th 7 and 8 places on most full field golf events throughout the year. Also running a great promotion for new golf players to use ...find out more >>

View the WM Phoenix Open market >>

*The members emails provide exclusive extra insights and advice on the week's main golf tournaments for betting. They includes my shortlists of golfers fancied for various markets. Already this year the likes of Cameron Smith and Sep Straka have featured and last week we had Thomas Pieters tipped for the 1st round lead at 40/1 prior to Lucas Herbert's excellent advised 150/1 (200s top price) win. The email consultancy service doesn't take a lot to join and it's well worthwhile.

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Golf Player Profiles

Please note that player attribute ratings are derived from the official PGA Tour and European Tour golf stats, and updated with a rolling average each golf betting year for precision.

Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the increasingly popular annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges and runs the Sharp Sports Bettors Blog.

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan also pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating. For example: Sam Horsfield at Celtic Manor vs TPC Southwind. This number will also portray ability level in terms of strokes gained total. Click "find out more" under the course fit golf betting model for info.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Note: all the most accurate up to date player and course data to input into this interactive golf betting model is in the NicsPicks Course Fit Manual 2022

My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats... find out more

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds. For example - a player shows form of T40 - 24 - 24, but last week he was in the leading PGA Tour group on Sunday with Tiger Woods and had a bad round due to nerves. His finishing position may not fully capture his actual form... See more with our calculators and betting tools

Progressive Form Golf Betting Model

To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

Best for Golf Betting

  • PGA Tour Official (stats)

  • European Tour (DP World)

  • OWGR.com (rankings and form)

  • Nicspicks Golf Betting Tips

Golf Betting Tips Strategy

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