Turkish Airlines Open Rankings, Golf Tips and Info

Turkish Airlines Open tips - top 10 vs the field rankings .......
(Turkish Open est. odds to 100%)

1. Justin Rose 12/1
2. Patrick Reed 16/1
3. Bernd Wiesberger 18/1
4. Haotong Li 22/1
5. Matthias Schwab 22/1
6. Shane Lowry 25/1
7. Francesco Molinari 25/1
8. Tyrell Hatton 25/1
9. Matt Wallace 25/1
10. Kiradech Aphibarnrat 28/1......

The Course - Montgomerie Maxx Royal, par: 72, 7,133 yrds

Key features - designed by Colin Montgomerie who was short off the tee and prefers a fade, this track offers many "strategic options". "Mix of pine forest and sandy ridges". Back nine is tighter than the front. Large undulating greens and average width, contoured, pristine fairways. Numerous water hazards.

Premium on - Greens in regulation, proximity to the hole, par 5 performance Turkish Airlines Open

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Paul Waring opened as high as 66/1 in the sportsbooks which was brilliant value. Unfortunately it doesn't last too long these days but EW quotes of 45- 50/1 are still about and as high as 5/1 on a top 10. Waring has now hit top form for the season with no worse a finish than 30th across his last 7 events which included a t3 at ST. Andrews. He recorded a t8 at Sheshan last week at the WGC with sandwiched rounds of 65 and 66. With ball striking stats including a rank of 19th in strokes gained: tee to green and 3rd in greens in reg, he looks a good fit for the Montgomerie Maxx. Waring is 40/1 7 places with Betfair sportsbook...

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Kiradech Aphibarnrat 50/1 always gets my attention on a track where par 5 performance is key. The Thai isn't having a great season but he was 25th in par 5 performance in 2018. He comes into the Turkish Airlines Open off the back of 4x 69s at the CJ cup for a T8 finish. He was 3rd last time the Turkish Airlines Open was played on the Montgomerie Maxx Royal in 2015, finishing on a total of -20 under par. Kira has opened at a general 45/1 and 60.00 on the exchange may well be worth a back to lay trade play on Betfair..... learn more here

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Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges.

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Input up to date player and course data (from the upcoming course fit manual 2024) into this interactive golf betting model. My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats.

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds.

Interactive Progressive Form Golf Betting Model

To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

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