RSM classic tips, rankings and info - Prices out of kilter

RSM classic top 10 vs the field rankings
(EST odds to 100% fair book)
1. Matt Kuchar 18/1
2. Webb Simpson 18/1
3. Billy Horschel 20/1
4. Harrish english 25/1
5. Charles Howell 25/1
6. Joel Dahmen 28/1
7. Kevin Kisner 28/1
8. Russell Henley 33/1
9. JT Poston 33/1
10. Aron Wise 33/1.....

The course(s)

"Go low or go home"

Plantation: par 72 7060 "Parklands by the sea. Newly renovated. Most of the holes have seen some change / rerouting. Changes in the bunkering - Greenbrier like, with sharp sides in rectangular shape. Chocolate drop mounding added.

Seaside: par 70, 7,005 yards - large elevated dome like greens. Accuracy over power rewarded here, hot flat stick required.

Wind set to be down / benign conditions. Rough down on both courses.

Premium on: Greens in reg, putting from 5-15 and 15-25 feet, Total birdies

Target player profile: Accurate with good ball control and a mighty hot flat stick

Chicken Nuggets: Around half of the field either reside, have resided or are connected to the Sea Island resort, which boasts one of the best golf practice facilities / centres in the States, along with a number of tracks

Tommy Gainey hit a then course record 60 enroute to victory here

RSM Classic tips (prices from mailing list as a sneak preview for the last week in the season)

Joel Dahmen 75/1
JT Poston 60/1
Russell Henley 50/1
Chris Stroud 200/1
Robert Streb 125/1

All the above prices for me are well out of line and could be decent potential back to lay trades on Betfair or bigger outright win prices.....Learn more about Betfair exchange or sign straight up


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Golf Player Profiles



Please note that player attribute ratings are derived from the official PGA Tour and European Tour golf stats, and updated with a rolling average each golf betting year for precision.


Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the increasingly popular annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges and runs the Sharp Sports Bettors Blog.

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan also pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating. For example: Sam Horsfield at Celtic Manor vs TPC Southwind. This number will also portray ability level in terms of strokes gained total. Click "find out more" under the course fit golf betting model for info.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Note: all the most accurate up to date player and course data to input into this interactive golf betting model is in the NicsPicks Course Fit Manual 2022


My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats... find out more

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds. For example - a player shows form of T40 - 24 - 24, but last week he was in the leading PGA Tour group on Sunday with Tiger Woods and had a bad round due to nerves. His finishing position may not fully capture his actual form... See more with our calculators and betting tools

Progressive Form Golf Betting Model



To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

Best for Golf Betting

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  • Nicspicks Golf Betting Tips


Golf Betting Tips Strategy

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  6. Golf majors: The Masters 2022 preview and picks - Open Championship - US PGA Championship - US Open. Tiger Woods.