Scroll for course fit and progressive form models & info

Best Mayakoba Golf Classic Tips - Who Will Win in Cancun?

Mayakoba Golf Classic tips - top 10 vs the field rankings
(Mayakoba Golf Classic est. odds to 100%)


1. Matt Kuchar (def) 18/1
2. Tony finau 18/1
3. Billy horschel 20/1
4. Jason Day 20/1
5. Russell Knox 22/1
6. Mailing list pick 25/1
7. Joaquin Niemann 25/1
8. Scottie Sheffler 28/1
9. Kevin Kisner 28/1
10. Charles Howell...... 28/1

The course: El Camaleon par 71, 7,017 yards

Key features: Smaller than average, well protected, undulating greens set to run around 11' on the stimp. Tight from the tips - treelined, beside the ocean. Windy. Greg Norman design.

Premium on:

Ball striking (often in wind). Positional play. ***Par 4 scoring***.

Experience is a big advantage at Mayakoba and older, plotter style players tend to be a strong theme on past leaderboards. Described as a "tight little coastal gem".

Course correlation: Harbour Town, Trump International, Waialae, Seaside course (sea Island)

Key Metric leaders (in Mayakoba field) - par 4 scoring
1. Charles Howell
2. Scott Piercy
3. Joaquin Niemann
4. Brice Garnett
5. Cameron Tringale

Mayakoba Golf Classic tips (selected) - join the members mailing list for all ~5 Mayakoba Golf Classic tips. Weekly Tips are only available through the members email and you can join for the price of a pint.

Offer: Betfair Sportsbook are 1/5th the odds paying 8 places Each Way on the Mayakoba Classic. New players can get up to £100 in free bets through this link

Two players I like the look of for trading (back to lay on Betfair) purposes are Brice Garnett 100.00 and Harris English 50.00. English is a former winner at Mayakoba and has returned to form with a bang at the back end of 2019 amassing finishes of 3rd, 6th and 4th in four events. Brice Garnett is a course specialist with a course history formline of 6-7-25-5 in his last 4 starts at Mayakoba. Both feature heavily in par 4 performance with English ranked 3rd this season, whilst Garnett was 10th overall in the ranking for that stat in 2019 on the PGA Tour ... Learn more on Betfair trading

Russell Knox 33/1 EW almost seems like a no-brainer at the price for the Mayakoba Golf Classic tips portfolio. Knox has returned to form in recent weeks with progressive T48, T28 and T11 finishes. He has the current and course form concoction having finished 2-3-9 here in his last 3 visits. In fact that 2nd place finish in 2015 was a playoff loss and he came back the next season and was priced around the 12/1 mark with the Sportsbooks at El Camaleon. This is the perfect test for the Scot's game, who excels in windy conditions.



Click to get +EV tips on other sports:


Tags: Golf betting tips, Mayakoba golf classic, Mayakoba golf classic tips

Golf Player Profiles



Please note that player attribute ratings are derived from the official PGA Tour and European Tour golf stats, and updated with a rolling average each golf betting year for precision.


Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the increasingly popular annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges and runs the Sharp Sports Bettors Blog.

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan also pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating. For example: Sam Horsfield at Celtic Manor vs TPC Southwind. This number will also portray ability level in terms of strokes gained total. Click "find out more" under the course fit golf betting model for info.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Note: all the most accurate up to date player and course data to input into this interactive golf betting model is in the NicsPicks Course Fit Manual 2022


My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats... find out more

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds. For example - a player shows form of T40 - 24 - 24, but last week he was in the leading PGA Tour group on Sunday with Tiger Woods and had a bad round due to nerves. His finishing position may not fully capture his actual form... See more with our calculators and betting tools

Progressive Form Golf Betting Model



To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

Winning Golf Betting Tips:


Winning golf betting tips? If you'd like to support me with a beer or 2, you can Buy me a beer here and be auto added to members tips mailing list. Very much optional but appreciated. Cheers lads.

Ross McGowan 400/80 to 1 (place), Tony Finau 50/1, Cam Champ 125/1, Cam Davis 125/1, Matt Jones 80/1 and FRL, Max Homa 60/1, Dean Burmester 55/1, Sam Burns 80/1, KH Lee 200/1, Sergio Garcia 70/1 (FRL), Thorbjorn Olesen 45/1 (FRL), Stewart Cink 150/1, Lucas Herbert 175/1 and 60/1

Best for Golf Betting

  • PGA Tour Official (stats)

  • European Tour (DP World)

  • OWGR.com (rankings and form)

  • Nicspicks Golf Betting Tips


Golf Betting Tips Strategy

  1. Course fit and strokes gained in golf betting
  2. Tips: How to win betting on golf online
  3. Ryder Cup betting tips
  4. Golf Betting Tips Guides
  5. Who are the best sports handicappers?


  6. Golf majors: The Masters 2022 preview and picks - Open Championship - US PGA Championship - US Open. Tiger Woods.