Open de France tips, rankings and key info

Open de France top 10 vs the field rankings and tips
(Est. fair odds to 100%)
1. Alex Noren 14/1 - DK $11,000
2. Joost Luiten 14/1 - DK $10,200
3. Martin Kaymer 20/1 (1st GIR) - DK $9,200
4. Eric Van Rooyen 25/1 - DK - $10,800
5. Thomas Pieters 25/1 - DK $10,400
6. Jordan Smith 25/1 - DK $10,000
7. Mike Lorenzo Vera 28/1 (WD)
8. Matthias Schwab 30/1 - DK $10,600
9. mailing list tip
10. Soren kjeldsen 33/1 - DK $7,500......

The DK salaries above are the Draftkings fantasy prices of the players for the Open de France Contests. Here's the structure and payouts for the $8 (per team) contest which guarantees 1k to 1st.....

Open De France Target Player Profile: Accurate off the tee, greens in regulation machine, and strong course management skills

Le Golf National course: par 71, 7,245 yards

Key features

Half links style / half stadium track. Exposed, but tight off the tips. Risk/reward course with serious water trouble. Smallish undulating greens. Pot bunkers. Thick and / or wispy rough. Mound surround

Premium on:

***DRIVING ACCURACY***, Strokes gained:tee to green, course management

He said - "This is a great golf course" "It really is a thinker's course, it's a ball strikers course aswell. It just asks questions of everything in your game" - Ryder Cup Captain, Thomas Bjorn

Key Metric Leaders (in Open De France field)

Driving Accuracy
CHESTERS, Ashley - 72.48% - +13.67
RAI, Aaron - 71.07% - +11.05
SOUTHGATE, Matthew - 69.63% - +11.15
CHAWRASIA, S.S.P. - 69.47% - +10.19
MANLEY, Stuart- 68.65% - +10.95

Strokes Gained: Tee 2 Green
LUITEN, Joost - 60 - +1.94
PIETERS, Thomas - 67 - +1.86
MIGLIOZZI, Guido - 71 - +1.61
LEON, Hugo - 58 - +1.53
SMITH, Jordan -68 - +1.50
KAYMER, Martin - 41 - +1.43
SCRIVENER, Jason - 74 - +1.40

Course specialists: Martin Kaymer, Alex Noren, Thongchai Jaidee

Betfair Sportsbook are paying 1/5th odds 8 places on the Open De France

Open de France tips

Joost Luiten and Jordan Smith are the two to really catch the eye if you're looking for a fair price and a probable sweat, but if you're after the more juicy value tips.....

There's a massive premium on hitting the fairways at Le Golf National this week and then going from there. No. 1 in the field in driving accuracy this season is Ashley Chesters 90/1, Closely follwed by Aaron Rai 45/1. Both players excel when there's emphasis on keeping the ball in play. Rai demonstrated this when winning at the very tight Hong Kong Golf Club. He finished in the top 20 in Italy. Chesters led the field in driving accuracy in the Italian capital and finished t21 here at Le Golf National in 2018. The Englishman has a 505 top 20 strike rate in his last 8 starts.

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Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges.

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Angles and Edges: a journey through the evolution of golf betting and the markets

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Input up to date player and course data (from the upcoming course fit manual 2024) into this interactive golf betting model. My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats.

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds.

Interactive Progressive Form Golf Betting Model

To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

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