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Safeway Open tips, rankings and key insights

Safeway Open top 10 vs field rankings
(est. fair odds to 100%)

1. Justin Thomas 10/1 Free £20 matched bet
2. Patrick Cantlay 12/1 Free £20 matched bet
3. Hideki Matsuyama 14/1
4. Sungjae Im 20/1
5. Byeong Hun an 20/1
6. Bryson De Chambeau 22/1
7. Collin Morikawa 25/1
8. Brandt Snedeker 25/1
9. Kevin Na 28/1
10. Ryan Moore 28/1


Safeway Open - offer for new customers: Free £20 matched golf bet at Betfair (click link)

Course: Silverado Resort (North), par 72 7,166 yards

Key features: Old school, treelined, parkland track. Dense, "muggy" air. Narrow tricky greens. Aesthetically similar to Augusta (Lush green, with white sands) - according to course redesigner and resort owner Johnny Miller

Premium on: Strokes gained tee to green, distance control, strokes gained approach (or proximity)

He said: "The air is like mud in this part of the States so the course plays longer than it looks" - Miller

Course specialists: Brendan Steele who has back to back wins @ 90.00 here Ryan Moore

Safeway Open tips

Betfair sportsbook are paying 1/5 8 places EW on the Safeway Open and Dunhill Links (click link)

Sungjae Im 22/1 ew is the obvious play here and he's a decent price because of the bigger names returning. Players like Justin Thomas and Bryson will be rusty though and may be worth taking on. Sungjae's form of 2 - 19 - 15, having lost in playoff last week, is the form man in the field. He finished 33rd in SG: tee to greens last season. He will win soon, very possibly at Silverado.

Byeong Hun An 28/1 ew was 6th in strokes gained tee to green last week on a course requiring similar attributes. He finished 7th in the same stat last season. Showing progressive 47-3 form, An's tee to green game should stand him in good stead around Silverado where I expect the leaderboard to have a similar look.

This week's Draftkings fantasy golf tournaments are up: $8 entry, 250k guaranteed contest - with 50k for first, and the 44$ 100k, 20k to 1st guaranteed (click link)

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I will be implementing a new staking plan in 2020, targeting different areas of the markets to try and tackle the current evolution of the golf betting game, which has now become so competitive. IMO the terms we are betting against the bookmakers with are for the most part, outdated.

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