BMW PGA Championship Wentworth Tips and Key Info

Nicspicks' BMW PGA Championship tips: top 10 vs the field rankings
(estimated fair prices to 100% book)

1. Rory McIlroy 8/1
2. Paul Casey 12/1
3. John Rahm 12/1
4. Francesco Molinari 20/1
5. Tommy Fleetwood 20/1
6. Shane Lowry 25/1
7. Justin Rose 25/1
8. Henrik Stenson 28/1
9. Tony Finau 28/1
10. Matt Fitzpatrick 28/1

The course - Wentworth, west course, par 72: 7,284 yards

European Ryder Cup qualification begins this week

Key features: Woodland track with big elevation changes, penal bunkering, elevated greens with run offs, swirling winds and dog-legs. Firmness of course is key and should play a little softer with new September slot.

Premium on: GREENS IN REGULATION (high approach flight an advantage and a prominent recent theme). Positioning from tee and shaping it both ways is vital. Good short game needed for inevitable misses. Look to the longer iron flushers to excel at Wentworth.

Course specialists: SHANE LOWRY, Lee Westwood, Francesco Molinari, Chris Wood

Correlation: none

He said: "Obviously Wentworth is one of my favourite courses. I have such fantastic memories there. I think it will have really benefitted from the change of date this year and the conditions might be some of the best we will have ever seen on the west course" - Paul Casey, no.2 in my Fantasy rankings

Home game: Paul Casey, Ernie Els, Ross Fisher

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(Progressive/trending/ course fit value odds plays)

Best bet: The opening lines on Open Champion Shane Lowry 33/1 were too big on a player who rates Wentworth as 1 of his favourite and most suitable courses. The big man performed admirable in his Fedex Cup, just missing out on East Lake, following his lengthy post Open session. Things have settled down now and he'll see the BMW Championship as a kind of calm after the storm home game. Lowry owns 4 top 10s (6 top 20s), including a runner up finish at Wentworth. Strong Fantasy Play.

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Recent Big Winners: Ross McGowan 400/80 to 1 (place), Tony Finau 50/1, Cam Champ 125/1, Cam Davis 125/1, Matt Jones 80/1 and FRL, Max Homa 60/1, Dean Burmester 55/1, Sam Burns 80/1, KH Lee 200/1, Sergio Garcia 70/1 (FRL), Thorbjorn Olesen 45/1 (FRL), Stewart Cink 150/1, Lucas Herbert 175/1
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