Wyndham Championship - Key stats, trends and angles

Low scoring is the brief at Sedgefield and Camillo Villegas won the 2014 Wyndham Championship renewal with a total of -17, bookending his tournament with a pair of 63s. Jordan Spieth was ousted by Patrick Reed in a playoff back in 2013 after the pair signed for -14.

Bill Haas, Heath Slocum and Nick Watney all finished T1 for greens in regulation with a clip of 81.94% en route to top 5 finishes in 2014. Villegas, Haas and Watney had a combined ranking of just 10th in bogey avoidance last year here. 4 of the top 7 occupied spots in the top five of birdies made. There is a strong emphasis on top ball striking from tee to green at Sedgefield.

The following table shows the top 4 players in each of the last two Wyndham championship renewals and their end of season stats in key areas for respective seasons:

We can see that there are no dominant areas in the stats department. Driving accuracy and good course management takes precedence over driving distance while a theme of competency in the all round game is suggested. Of the top 5 in driving distance in the 2014 Wyndham Championship renewal, only Johnny Vegas finished inside the top 23 players. Driving distance is not a factor here.

The two standout stats we can see are in the scrambling and par 4 scoring departments which would ring true on a par 70 design with tricky, back-to-front sloping greens equipped with run offs. In these two combined areas, only 25% of totals read above the top 62 in respective rankings.

In the 2015 season, Chad Collins tops the Scrambling stats with a clip of 68.04%. He’s followed closely by Jerry Kelly (66.34), and course specialist Brandt Snedeker ranks 5th (65.84) in this category. Will Wilcox and Hideki Matsuyama will tee it up at Sedgefield and they rank T3 in par 4 scoring, owning a 3.96 average.

Local Connections

Looking more in depth at previous Wyndham Championship leaderboards in more detail shows a strong theme of players with local ties featuring. There are a number of top pros who base themselves in North and South Carolina. Carl Pettersson is a member of Sedgefield and he owns the 72 hole scoring record (259) and shares the 18 hole record (61). He’s the all time money leader at the Wyndham Championship, winning the inaugural Sedgefield edition in 2008.

Tim Clark is a name common on this leaderboard and the South African attended North Carolina State. Wake Forest University Alumni Bill Haas and Webb Simpson are North Carolina natives who have featured prominently at the Wyndham Championship. Simpson won here back in 2011.

Betting Angle

It may pay to look closely at players ranked highly in the par 4 scoring, scoring average and scrambling stats. Experienced players with strong course knowledge regularly feature at Sedgefield. Avoiding players just inside the Fedex bubble may be an angle while siding with those outside who have nothing to lose may be a play.
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Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges.

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating.

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What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds.

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To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

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