Headline Selections for Valspar and Tshwane Open

Tshwane Open: Craig Lee (150/1) win, top 10, #FRL

Current form: T45 - MC #Simmering; Course form: N/A

Key stats: 21 birdies, 2 eagles at Africa Open

Saw some very early blue on Oddschecker last week which grabbed my attention. Slow start but then a birdie blitz Friday through Sunday at East London. 2 disaster holes cost him including snowman on 18 (easily done with slightly errant tee shots on that track). Has form on tight treelined courses, posting a 61 in Cran en route to playoff loss in 2013 (-20 total).

Valspar Championship: Kevin Na (55/1) win, top 10

Current form: 9-61-mc-26; course form: 2, 38, 44 #Progressive

Key stats; scrambling: 24th; Par 3 performance: 27th

Usually a factor on the Florida swing. Came close last year and can contend in the biggest events, posting a runner up at Memorial. Top 10 at Doral very impressive last week on course that didn't suit. Scrambling skills vital for Copperhead and Na excels more than most in that department.

Winning golf betting tips? If you'd like to support me with a beer or 2 from your winnings, I'd love if you Buy me a beer here, through the image, or revolut me @Bryannich
Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges.

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Angles and Edges: a journey through the evolution of golf betting and the markets

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Input up to date player and course data (from the upcoming course fit manual 2024) into this interactive golf betting model. My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats.

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds.

Interactive Progressive Form Golf Betting Model



To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

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Golf Betting Tips Strategy

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