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Hyundai Tournament of champions selections and guide

I've got a bit of catching up to do already in 2014 after a poor pre Xmas run and there's a new format on the blog this year which will take shape as we go on. Basically, with social media taking off and so many people now writing previews as a hobby and Twitter destroying odds early, I'm going to make Nicspicks more facts and figures and straight to the point. This year will also have more of a focus on the exchange trading side.

We start with the Hyundai Tournament Of Champions breakdown which is a tough one to predict for obvious form reasons but, maybe less obviously, the main reason is actually the severe trade winds which blow across the course....

The course: Plantation at Kapalua; Length 7,452 yards; Par 73

Key Features: Wide open fairways, large undulating greens, elevation changes

Premium on: Controlling ball flight from approaches in the wind, driving distance, converting tricky short putts

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Nicspicks man to beat: Adam Scott 5/1

Market Negatives (notably underpriced IMO): Dustin Johnson 7/1

Hyundai Tournament of Champions shortlist

Ryan Moore

Current form: 9-1-50-23-7; Course form: 6-28

Key stats: Total putting: 6th; Total driving: 2nd

Other: Back to the top of his form at back end of last season and expecting a big 2014

Martin Laird

Current form: 61-20; Course form: 4-2 (scintillating)

Key stats: averaging just under 300 yards from the tee since 2012

Other: Wind competent. known fan of this week's destination.

Jason Dufner

Current form: 34-13 (progressive); Course form: 18

Key stats: (2013) 20th putting from 5-15'; 7th in par 4 performance

Other: Wind capable. -6 through last 14 holes to close here last year.

Jimmy walker

Current form: 1-12-6-46 1st gear; Course form: -

Key stats: 2nd in driving distance, putting and birdie av. in 2014 (4 events)

Other: New player under Butch Harmon. Owns low rounds of 64 and 62 already in season 2014. Backed at 33s in full field events last year. A real one to watch in 2014.

Sang Moon-Bae

Current form: 68-52-15 progressive ; Course form: -

Key stats: (2013) 18th in total birdies; 9th in putting from 5-10'

Other: General good early season form. Makes birdies in bunches. Should prove one of Asia's finest after maiden PGA win at HP Byron Nelson

Trading pointer (Back-to-lay): 1pt Jimmy Walker at 40.0 and look to lay 4pts at 10.0 - pays 3/1.

Finalised EW staking plan

1u EW Jason Dufner @ 25/1 (general)
1u EW Ryan Moore to shoot lowest round @ 20/1 (Skybet)
1u EW Jimmy walker to shoot lowest round @ 25/1 (Skybet)
0.75u EW S. Moon Bae to shoot lowest round at 60/1 (Skybet)

How Nicspicks Works...

Nicspicks provides weekly golf betting tips and previews across the PGA Tour and European Tours. The golf betting tips and insights are free on site, with all tips available through the members mailing list early Tuesdays.

I will be implementing a new staking plan in 2020, targeting different areas of the markets to try and tackle the current evolution of the golf betting game, which has now become so competitive. Bookmaker place terms IMO are for the most part, outdated.

What you need:
We will be betting using odds on Betfair Sportsbook where possible, so have access to an account. Betfair offer each way 7 and even 8 places on most events throughout the year. Get Up to the £100 in free bets that are on offer when you sign up through this link

Backing to lay big outsiders and In-play trading will be a feature on Nicspicks throughout the season and a Betfair exchange account is essential to get involved. Click image below:

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