Hyundai Tournament of champions selections and guide

I've got a bit of catching up to do already in 2014 after a poor pre Xmas run and there's a new format on the blog this year which will take shape as we go on. Basically, with social media taking off and so many people now writing previews as a hobby and Twitter destroying odds early, I'm going to make Nicspicks more facts and figures and straight to the point. This year will also have more of a focus on the exchange trading side.

We start with the Hyundai Tournament Of Champions breakdown which is a tough one to predict for obvious form reasons but, maybe less obviously, the main reason is actually the severe trade winds which blow across the course....

The course: Plantation at Kapalua; Length 7,452 yards; Par 73

Key Features: Wide open fairways, large undulating greens, elevation changes

Premium on: Controlling ball flight from approaches in the wind, driving distance, converting tricky short putts

Follow me on Twitter: @Nicspicks for extra views and insight

Nicspicks man to beat: Adam Scott 5/1

Market Negatives (notably underpriced IMO): Dustin Johnson 7/1

Hyundai Tournament of Champions shortlist

Ryan Moore

Current form: 9-1-50-23-7; Course form: 6-28

Key stats: Total putting: 6th; Total driving: 2nd

Other: Back to the top of his form at back end of last season and expecting a big 2014

Martin Laird

Current form: 61-20; Course form: 4-2 (scintillating)

Key stats: averaging just under 300 yards from the tee since 2012

Other: Wind competent. known fan of this week's destination.

Jason Dufner

Current form: 34-13 (progressive); Course form: 18

Key stats: (2013) 20th putting from 5-15'; 7th in par 4 performance

Other: Wind capable. -6 through last 14 holes to close here last year.

Jimmy walker

Current form: 1-12-6-46 1st gear; Course form: -

Key stats: 2nd in driving distance, putting and birdie av. in 2014 (4 events)

Other: New player under Butch Harmon. Owns low rounds of 64 and 62 already in season 2014. Backed at 33s in full field events last year. A real one to watch in 2014.

Sang Moon-Bae

Current form: 68-52-15 progressive ; Course form: -

Key stats: (2013) 18th in total birdies; 9th in putting from 5-10'

Other: General good early season form. Makes birdies in bunches. Should prove one of Asia's finest after maiden PGA win at HP Byron Nelson

Trading pointer (Back-to-lay): 1pt Jimmy Walker at 40.0 and look to lay 4pts at 10.0 - pays 3/1.

Finalised EW staking plan

1u EW Jason Dufner @ 25/1 (general)
1u EW Ryan Moore to shoot lowest round @ 20/1 (Skybet)
1u EW Jimmy walker to shoot lowest round @ 25/1 (Skybet)
0.75u EW S. Moon Bae to shoot lowest round at 60/1 (Skybet)


Recent Big Winners: Ross McGowan 400/80 to 1 (place), Tony Finau 50/1, Cam Champ 125/1, Cam Davis 125/1, Matt Jones 80/1 and FRL, Max Homa 60/1, Dean Burmester 55/1, Sam Burns 80/1, KH Lee 200/1, Sergio Garcia 70/1 (FRL), Thorbjorn Olesen 45/1 (FRL), Stewart Cink 150/1, Lucas Herbert 175/1
Winning golf betting tip? If you'd like to support me with a beer or 2, you can Buy me a beer here and be auto added to members tips mailing list. Very much optional but appreciated. Cheers lads.

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