Tour Championship golf trading strategy and tips

Open a Betfair account here and try this strategy for yourself.

If you don't fancy backing anyone EW in the 30 man Tour championship field, trading the event is a good alternative. I'm going to outline a pretty simple trading strategy I use in this type of scenario: Basically I'm going to dutch (split my total outlay/stakes on all my selections so that each would return the same amount if 1 of them won) my three selections of Snedeker(26.0); Mahan(21.0); Stricker (24.0) for a total outlay of €153.32 (see screenshot - click to enlarge).


I'm now going to target odds of 4.0 and place an order to lay back my whole €153.52 on each of the three players. Should either Snedeker, Mahan or Stricker then hit these odds of 4.0 in-running, my lay bet will be matched and my whole tournament investment will be covered for a freeroll. Please note that all three may fail to hit these odds.


Should the tournament go well, I would personally then look to trade fully (green up) around the 54 hole mark (even if 4.0 hasn't been hit) but this can obviously be volatile. Exiting after 36 holes can be a decent option if your guys are in contention. Obviously you can be bolder and leave it until in-running in round 4 if that's your preferred style. Give it a go if you fancy it: have a look at the Tour championship market here and try this strategy for yourself
Winning golf betting tips? If you'd like to support me with a beer or 2 from your winnings, I'd love if you Buy me a beer here, through the image, or revolut me @Bryannich

Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges.


Buy my Golf Betting Book £15.99 or 1/2 price on Kindle

<b>Buy my Golf Betting Book</b> £15.99 or 1/2 price on Kindle
Angles and Edges: a journey through the evolution of golf betting and the markets

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Input up to date player and course data (from the upcoming course fit manual 2024) into this interactive golf betting model. My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats.

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds.

Interactive Progressive Form Golf Betting Model



To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

Best for Golf Betting



Golf Betting Tips Strategy

  1. Course fit and strokes gained in golf betting
  2. Tips: How to win betting on golf online
  3. Ryder Cup betting tips
  4. Golf Betting Tips Guides
  5. Who are the best sports handicappers?

  6. GOLF MAJORS 2024: The Masters - US PGA Championship - US Open - Open Championship