Alfred Dunhill Links Picks

I've made quite a few selections for the Alfred Dunhill Links this week where there's plently of value about and all books going places 1-6. Victor Dubuisson has been backed off the boards but there's a similar style compatriot of his in Romain wattel who is taking my fancy, and at double Dubuisson's price. All picks and staking plan for the Alfred Dunhill Links now avaiilable on spreadsheet or see below. Reasoning on a few of those picks can be found on my Unibet column later or click the radio play icon in blog sidebar. I'm also on Sean O' Hair on the Web.com Tour event. Also, if anyone fancies a first round leader bet, @JohnRhodes from Skybet has priced up three markets from the individual courses - worth a look if you bet with skybet.

Alfred Dunhill picks and staking plan (prices from Monday members email)

1.25u ew Paul Casey @ 28/1 (Stans)
1u ew B. Wiesberger @ 33/1 (general)
0.75u ew D. Willett @ 60/1 (Stans)
0.75u ew Richie Ramsey @ 100/1 (Stans)
0.75u ew R. Wattel @ 90/1 (Stans)
0.5u ew Michael Hoey @ 135/1 (Stans)
0.5u ew Morten Madsen @150/1 (general)
1u Simon Thornton top 10 @ 25/1 (Betfred)

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Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges.

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Angles and Edges: a journey through the evolution of golf betting and the markets

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Input up to date player and course data (from the upcoming course fit manual 2024) into this interactive golf betting model. My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats.

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds.

Interactive Progressive Form Golf Betting Model



To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

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Golf Betting Tips Strategy

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