Fedex Cup: The Barclays, and Johnnie Walker Championship tips 2013

Last week was a tough one at Wyndham after a decent spell on Nicspicks, with none of four getting close to contention and I lost a decent amount personally in running trading too. I really fancied Tim clark but he never got going. Moving onto the Johnnie Walker Championship and the first event of the Fedex Cup playoffs - The Barclays, this week where there are changes on both sides of the Atlantic.

Full previews on the blog will be limited for the remainder of the year due to a busy schedule but reasoning can be found in my Unibet previews as usual. Make sure to keep an eye there and on my spreadsheet in the "tips, profit and loss" tab of the navbar each week and while there's no early email service running, I'll get my tips up asap for all to try and avail of best prices.

The Gleneagles course at the Johnnie Walker Championship will be the venue for the 2014 Ryder Cup and the course has been undergoing changes. There seems to be some confusion over the length with the European Tour site now having it at just under 7,100 yards (as they did last year). Bunkers have been remodelled and greens equipped with sub-air systems. The premium in scotland is accuracy from tee to green and scrambling ability will be of high importance if you miss the greens. Taking advantage of the par fives is always key at Gleneagles. Wind is likely to be a factor also with many exposed areas.

Over on the other side of the pond, the top 125 of the Fedex Cup points list tee it up back at Liberty National - where Phil Mickelson is an honorary member - for The Barclays for the first time since 2009 and again, wind is likely to be a factor here on a lengthy, exposed course, which is supposedly one of the most expensive around so expect pristine conditions. Webb Simpson led at the halfway stage here back in 09 and is in his best form of the season while Dustin Johnson also features in the Barclays staking plan. The newly engaged and feeling good Johnson shot a low round 64 to finish things off in 2009 after starting the event at a whopping 70/1 that year and he is one of the Americans who knows best how to control his ball flight in the wind. All tips and staking plan for both The Barclays and Johnnie Walker championship are now live on my profit and loss spreadsheet. If you fancy trading my picks - which can be lucrative - the Barclays Betfair market is here

Please note that PP and Bet Victor are going places 1-6 for the Barclays

Tags: Deutsche Bank championship picks, Handa Wales Open picks, Deutsche bank championship tips, Wales Open tips

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Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges.

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Input up to date player and course data (from the upcoming course fit manual 2024) into this interactive golf betting model. My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats.

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds.

Interactive Progressive Form Golf Betting Model

To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

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