WGC Cadillac in-play - Bo to go low?

I've been talking on twitter this morning about how much Tiger's presence on the leaderboard still affects market prices (overly,IMO) and for me there are lot's of potentially exploitable prices over the next two rounds at Doral.

Phil Mickelson (16.0) is lurking ominously only 1 shot back and says his mission this week is to keep it in play and he will be using 3 wood for the majority. A Phil Mickelson playing from the fairway is a serious dangerman in anyone's book.

Bo Van Pelt is known for going low and at just two shots back, a quote of 50.0 for me is huge. He can do it on all types of courses, posting the low round of the tournament (64) at the 2012 Masters and recently hit a 59 at the pro-am in Phoenix.

Trading plan: Dutch 4 units on both: 1 unit on Bo and 3 units on Mickelson. Look to lay back 4 units if either hit 6.0 on the exchanges and then green up between holes 54-64 should they continue to run well.

Please note that you should use this strategy as a guide and adjust it to suit your own style.

Winning golf betting tips? If you'd like to support me with a beer or 2 from your winnings, I'd love if you Buy me a beer here, through the image, or revolut me @Bryannich

Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges.

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Input up to date player and course data (from the upcoming course fit manual 2024) into this interactive golf betting model. My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats.

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds.

Interactive Progressive Form Golf Betting Model

To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

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Golf Betting Tips Strategy

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