WM Phoenix Open in play - Haas to Happen?

Bill Haas found himself in the final group yesterday with Phil and Keegan, and as often happens with the American, he struggled in the spotlight. He hit 12 birdies and an eagle through the first two days and a round 4 bounce back may be on the cards for a man who can make birdies in bunches.

The trading plan is to enter the W/O Mickelson market where I've backed Haas at 20.0. I'll be looking to green up should he hit 4.0 and if he starts fast (-3 thru 5 or so) he will be closing in on this target depending on how Snedeker starts. Essentially we are getting 4/1 on Haas hitting this price, which for a man who can go low, regularly, looks almost twice the fair price for me.

2.5 units Bill Haas at 20.0 (w/o Mickelson market)
Lay Bill Haas for 12.5u @ 4.0

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Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges.


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Angles and Edges: a journey through the evolution of golf betting and the markets

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Input up to date player and course data (from the upcoming course fit manual 2024) into this interactive golf betting model. My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats.

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds.

Interactive Progressive Form Golf Betting Model



To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

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Golf Betting Tips Strategy

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