NICSPICKS GOLF BETTING TIPS

New: Course Fit Manual 2022

WGC Accenture Matchplay Preview and Guide

The WGC Accenture Matchplay at Dove Mountain is the only main tour golf we have to sink our teeth into this week and rather than focus on individual picks on the blog, I'm going to concentrate more on a strategy I regularly use to exploit the value on the exchanges in this type of format. Quite simply, anything can happen in matchplay events; not many players - whoever they are - will perform in every round they play and this means that unless they are lucky enough to have their opponent endure an off day too, they're out.

There won't be any emails this week for the Accenture world Matchplay but yet again the service produced great profits last week with Darren Fichardt advised at 40/1 winning in SA and blog picks Freddy Jacobsen and Bill Haas placing at Riviera. Webb Simpson was also advised six places with Stanjames so took in a DH tie with Josh Teater. I know a few of you got a great trade in on Da Silva in SA as well. After this week there will be only five weeks left in the first period of the mailing service so I'm reducing the minimum donation to £5 if you would like to be added to the list until the end of March.

Back to the Accenture Matchplay and you you will need an account with Betfair to try this and it is appreciated if you go through my aff links. I like to target one, possibly two players from each bracket and dutch them for the outright win (if two from one bracket, take 1 from each end). I focus on the outsiders where you will get very silly odds. Should one of your selections reach the semi final, you should have the option to trade out for a nice profit.

I will have some of my shorter priced WGC Accenture World Matchplay fancies as well as these longshots from each bracket posted up in previews for various sites later in the week and will add links here as and when available - My WGC Matchplay fave and four big ew prices for the brackets for NCGM: Matchplay preview

As always, you can follow me on Twitter: @Nicspicks for more tips and updates



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Golf Player Profiles



Please note that player attribute ratings are derived from the official PGA Tour and European Tour golf stats, and updated with a rolling average each golf betting year for precision.


Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the increasingly popular annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges.

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Expected strokes gained course fit (xSGF) can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating. For example: Sam Horsfield at Celtic Manor vs TPC Southwind. This number will also portray ability level in terms of strokes gained total. Click "find out more" under the course fit golf betting model for info.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Note: all the most accurate up to date player and course data to input into this interactive golf betting model is in the NicsPicks Course Fit Manual 2022


My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats... find out more

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds. For example - a player shows form of T40 - 24 - 24, but last week he was in the leading PGA Tour group on Sunday with Tiger Woods and had a bad round due to nerves. His finishing position may not fully capture his actual form.

Progressive Form Golf Betting Model



To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

Winning Golf Betting Tips:


Winning golf betting tips? If you'd like to support me with a beer or 2, you can Buy me a beer here and be auto added to members tips mailing list. Very much optional but appreciated. Cheers lads.

Ross McGowan 400/80 to 1 (place), Tony Finau 50/1, Cam Champ 125/1, Cam Davis 125/1, Matt Jones 80/1 and FRL, Max Homa 60/1, Dean Burmester 55/1, Sam Burns 80/1, KH Lee 200/1, Sergio Garcia 70/1 (FRL), Thorbjorn Olesen 45/1 (FRL), Stewart Cink 150/1, Lucas Herbert 175/1 and 60/1

Best for Golf Betting

  • PGA Tour Official (stats)

  • European Tour (DP World)

  • OWGR.com (rankings and form)

  • Nicspicks Golf Betting Tips


Golf Betting Tips Strategy

  1. Course fit and strokes gained in golf betting
  2. Tips: How to win betting on golf online
  3. Ryder Cup betting tips
  4. Golf Betting Tips Guides


  5. Golf majors: The Masters - Open Championship - US PGA Championship - US Open. Tiger Woods.