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150/1 Palmer Pick the catalyst for a new world of golf tipping!

Every good idea must be inspired by someone or something right? Right. It was in 2008 a certain Ryan Palmer - who I thought was an absolute standout bet for the Ginn Sur Mer Classic - brought home the goods and capped off what was then another highly profitable golf season for me. At the time Palmer did the business, I was frequenting forums, recording my betting results in threads and all the things a lot of aspiring golf or sporting "tipsters" do. I had no background in web design or didn't know anything about blogging. What I knew I did have though was a high risk intelligence and ability to accurately estimate probabilities and spot key patterns and trends that most could not.

After this huge Palmer victory on the golf - one I had to endure by looking at the reactions in the Betfair markets to let me now what was going on after I lost TV coverage - I decided to do a bit of a google search as I was baffled as to how a guy so obvious to me such as Ryan Palmer was at such high odds and I wanted to see if anyone else came up with him. It was then for the first time that I came across Dave Tindall - formerly of the Betting Zone and now chief Skysports golf editor and tipster. He had also tipped Ryan Palmer's ultimate success. It's funny how life works out as I now liaise with Dave on Twitter and am about to embark on my first trip into print journalism with his good friend Mark at National Club Golfer.

Suffice to say I kept an eye on Dave Tindall and the newly found Betting Zone site as well as searching for other people in this area. Ironically, one of the most famous these days is Palmer's name sake - Steve, and Steve Palmer is the chief golf writer and tipster for the Racing Post. Steve is well respected in the golf tipping world as well as Dave and while some may argue he doesn't specialise in finding value, his golf tipping record isn't half bad.

After a while of looking around the internet it suddenly dawned on me that I could do this blogging thing; afterall I did have a Myspace account and knew HTML coding! So with that Nicspicks blog was born and I havn't looked back since. I've now been running four years and I know I've inspired many more people to start their blogs etc and I hope to continue to do so. Thank you Mr. Palmer!

Golf Player Profiles



Please note that player attribute ratings are derived from the official PGA Tour and European Tour golf stats, and updated with a rolling average each golf betting year for precision.


Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the increasingly popular annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges and runs the Sharp Sports Bettors Blog.

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan also pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating. For example: Sam Horsfield at Celtic Manor vs TPC Southwind. This number will also portray ability level in terms of strokes gained total. Click "find out more" under the course fit golf betting model for info.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Note: all the most accurate up to date player and course data to input into this interactive golf betting model is in the NicsPicks Course Fit Manual 2022


My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats... find out more

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds. For example - a player shows form of T40 - 24 - 24, but last week he was in the leading PGA Tour group on Sunday with Tiger Woods and had a bad round due to nerves. His finishing position may not fully capture his actual form... See more with our calculators and betting tools

Progressive Form Golf Betting Model



To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

Winning Golf Betting Tips:


Winning golf betting tips? If you'd like to support me with a beer or 2, you can Buy me a beer here and be auto added to members tips mailing list. Very much optional but appreciated. Cheers lads.

Ross McGowan 400/80 to 1 (place), Tony Finau 50/1, Cam Champ 125/1, Cam Davis 125/1, Matt Jones 80/1 and FRL, Max Homa 60/1, Dean Burmester 55/1, Sam Burns 80/1, KH Lee 200/1, Sergio Garcia 70/1 (FRL), Thorbjorn Olesen 45/1 (FRL), Stewart Cink 150/1, Lucas Herbert 175/1 and 60/1

Best for Golf Betting

  • PGA Tour Official (stats)

  • European Tour (DP World)

  • OWGR.com (rankings and form)

  • Nicspicks Golf Betting Tips


Golf Betting Tips Strategy

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  6. Golf majors: The Masters 2022 preview and picks - Open Championship - US PGA Championship - US Open. Tiger Woods.