150/1 Palmer Pick the catalyst for a new world of golf tipping!

Every good idea must be inspired by someone or something right? Right. It was in 2008 a certain Ryan Palmer - who I thought was an absolute standout bet for the Ginn Sur Mer Classic - brought home the goods and capped off what was then another highly profitable golf season for me. At the time Palmer did the business, I was frequenting forums, recording my betting results in threads and all the things a lot of aspiring golf or sporting "tipsters" do. I had no background in web design or didn't know anything about blogging. What I knew I did have though was a high risk intelligence and ability to accurately estimate probabilities and spot key patterns and trends that most could not.

After this huge Palmer victory on the golf - one I had to endure by looking at the reactions in the Betfair markets to let me now what was going on after I lost TV coverage - I decided to do a bit of a google search as I was baffled as to how a guy so obvious to me such as Ryan Palmer was at such high odds and I wanted to see if anyone else came up with him. It was then for the first time that I came across Dave Tindall - formerly of the Betting Zone and now chief Skysports golf editor and tipster. He had also tipped Ryan Palmer's ultimate success. It's funny how life works out as I now liaise with Dave on Twitter and am about to embark on my first trip into print journalism with his good friend Mark at National Club Golfer.

Suffice to say I kept an eye on Dave Tindall and the newly found Betting Zone site as well as searching for other people in this area. Ironically, one of the most famous these days is Palmer's name sake - Steve, and Steve Palmer is the chief golf writer and tipster for the Racing Post. Steve is well respected in the golf tipping world as well as Dave and while some may argue he doesn't specialise in finding value, his golf tipping record isn't half bad.

After a while of looking around the internet it suddenly dawned on me that I could do this blogging thing; afterall I did have a Myspace account and knew HTML coding! So with that Nicspicks blog was born and I havn't looked back since. I've now been running four years and I know I've inspired many more people to start their blogs etc and I hope to continue to do so. Thank you Mr. Palmer!
Winning golf betting tips? If you'd like to support me with a beer or 2 from your winnings, I'd love if you Buy me a beer here, through the image, or revolut me @Bryannich

Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges.


Buy my Golf Betting Book £15.99 or 1/2 price on Kindle

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Angles and Edges: a journey through the evolution of golf betting and the markets

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Input up to date player and course data (from the upcoming course fit manual 2024) into this interactive golf betting model. My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats.

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds.

Interactive Progressive Form Golf Betting Model



To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

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