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Farmers Insurance in-play trading - Balls of steele

Please note that all trades will be made on Betfair.

Moist and calm conditions at the Farmer Insurance yesterday saw the the smallest difference is scoring average between Torrey Pines North and South since 2001 (1.667); scoring on the North wasn't as low as in previous years while a handful of players - including joint leader KJ Choi - went deep on the south in easy conditions. For me this gives players who went well around Torrey South yesterday a big advantage if conditions are to revert to type today.

Three players to play the North course today are on the radar at nice odds on Betfair: John Huh (55.0) and Bill haas (42.0) shot -17 between them on the North course last year while Steve Marino (140.0) - before his injury problems - was a regular fixture atop the 'total birdie' stat. I'm also going to throw Brendan Steele (180.0) into the mix. He's on the south today but I read an article about him yesterday regarding his strict new fitness and healthy eating regime. He also mentions he's scrambling better than ever and his driving ability stands out for this track.

The trading plan is to split six units up so that if any were to win they would return broadly the same amount (dutching). I'll be looking to lay though if any player hits 7.0 for 6 units which would cover our liabilities. We would then trade out fully (green up) after round three should they continue to run well.

Brendan Steele is also priced at 9/4 to win his second round three-ball today v Stewart Cink and Jonas Blixt and this is quite simply the wrong price and worth a play.

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I will be implementing a new staking plan in 2020, targeting different areas of the markets to try and tackle the current evolution of the golf betting game, which has now become so competitive. IMO the terms we are betting against the bookmakers with are for the most part, outdated.

What you need:
We will be betting using odds on Betfair Sportsbook where possible, so have access to an account. Betfair offer each way 7 and even 8 places on most events throughout the year. £100 in free bets are on offer when you sign up through this link. Backing to lay big outsiders and In play trading will be a feature on Nicspicks throughout the season and a Betfair exchange account is essential to get involved in this. Click image below:


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