EW Golf Staking Plan



In this section I'm going to delve into some mathematics behind my longterm consistency in producing profit from golf betting, and outline a strategy I recommend for those following my weekly picks. Many people fail to realise that picking winners isn't enough - to maintain an edge on the market, you need to have a good strategy and staking plan in place to exploit value and manage your bankroll.

I generally allocate 10 units to a full field golf event; this equates to just 4% of my bankroll. I target five or six players at certain odds (all above what I think they should be) and stake proportionally so that if any were to win or place, they would return broadly the same amount averaging out over a full season

For example:

1.5 units ew @ 30/1 would return 59.25 for a win or 12.75 for a place
1 unit ew @ 50/1 would return 64.5 for a win or 13.5 for a place
0.5 units ew @ 100/1 would return 63.5 for a win or 13.0 for a place

I tend to look at the event as a whole in a five or six v the field manner rather than each player individually. I make my picks so that just one place would return me in the range of 130%-170% of my tournament outlay (30-70% profit). This means that only one place from every two events would return approximately 75% of my yearly investment and here's where the winners come in: The places keep the bankroll ticking over while just a few winners would put you into profit for the season. Regular followers will know that in the four seasons since blog inception, Nicspicks has averaged over ten winners per season at av. odds of around 50/1.

A good staking strategy is vital to profiting from golf betting and hopefully this article will prove as a useful guide. If you enjoyed the read, please retweet to your followers on twitter and feel free to comment in below


1 comment:

  1. Really really helpful article Nic -incredibly helpful for us new to this whole thing. Much appreciated!

    ReplyDelete

Any thoughts or fancies to share, then feel free... all feedback welcome

2015 Selected Golf Winners
Frysdotcom Open: Emiliano Grillo 50/1 (win)

British Masters: Matt Fitzpatrick 33/1 (win)

US PGA Championship: Jason Day 14/1 (win)

Czech Open: Thomas Pieters 90/1 (win)

European Masters: Danny Willett 16/1 (win)

European Masters: Anirban Lahiri 100/1 (Place T10)

Crowne Plaza: Chris Kirk 35/1 (win)

Shell Houston: JB Holmes 33/1 (win)


Trophee Hassan: M.Lundberg 250/1 (top 10)

Tshwane Open: Craig Lee 150/1 (top 10)

Puerto Rico: Alex Cejka 100/1 (win)

Humana: Justin Thomas 15/2 (top 10)

HTOC: Patrick Reed 22/1 (win)

Sony Open: Rory Sabbatini (FRL, top 10)

Abu Dhabi: M. Kaymer 16/1 (place)

Abu Dhabi: B-H An 9/1 (top 20)

CIMB Classic: R. Karlberg 125/1 (win FRL)

>> Join Nicspicks' mailing list for early picks & best prices by email