It's the season finale this week on the European Tour as 57 players (after withdrawals) tee it up in the newly named DP World Tour championship and after 45/1 and 50/1 winners here at the Earth Course in 2011 and 2010 respectively, this has been one of the more profitable events for Nicspicks. It takes a certain type of player to win on this track and Rory McIlroy is a perfect fit for the course. I wonder about Rory's mindset though after already wrapping up both money lists and the majority of the other market leaders look extremely short and easy to oppose.
The Earth course at the DP World Tour championship plays a lengthy 7,675 yards and features wide fairways and large undulating greens. Rough this year has been overseeded placing more emphasis on hitting fairways but expansive landing areas still give the bombers an advantage. Tricky greens with run off areas and reading 12'on the stimpmeter place a premium very much on approach shots and there's one player atlong odds who I love to back at set-ups such as this one and that's Alex "moon ball" Noren.
DP World Tour championship Picks - Follow me on Twitter: @Nicspicks
Pick #1: Martin Kaymer ew @ 20/1 (Ladbrokes) There's only one name towards the top end of the market that gives me any real interest at the prices available and that's the German, fresh off the back of a weekend 68-67 at the SA Open Championship for a share of third place. Kaymer, who has a top record in this part of the world, has been showing signs of his old self in the second half of the season and can continue at the DP World Tour Championship where he left off on a course arguably not too dissimilar in setup to the Serengeti
Pick #2: George Coetzee ew @ 40/1 (general) is a player many of you know I rate extremely highly. George hit a course record 63 at the Serengeti last week en route to a 2nd place finish and his combination of huge hitting coupled with one of the best putt conversation rates from 5-15ft on tour could stand him in good stead around the Earth Course. It's four top 6 finishes for Coetzee now in his last six and the big man closed at the DP World Tour Championship last year with a weekend 69-67. Relatively big price.
Pick #3: Nicolas Colsaerts ew @33/1 (Ladbrokes) is another that fits the course criteria to a tee (excuse the pun) and also boasts a good record in this part of the world. Averaging over 300 yards off the tee with over 75% of Greens hit, the Belgian has been simmering a little of late after his Ryder Cup exploits. Possibly refreshed after a mediocre top 25 at the Dunlop Phoenix, he may be ready to unleash on the Earth Course this week.
Pick #4: Alex Noren ew @ 70/1 (Coral) is a huge price for me relative to the field at this week's DP World Tour Championship. Off the back of qualifying for the final stage of the US Tour school at Redstone GC - a course tha also bears similarities to the set up this week, Noren placed sixth here in 2009 and has the game to take on the Earth Course. The Swede has one of the highest ball flights with his irons on tour - perfect for attacking the pin positions on the large undulating greens and the multiple winner could be one to watch this week at a tasty price. Alex is also well worth a look in the first round leader market.
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