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Ireland v Germany Betting tips - World Cup Qualifying

Goals look on the cards today as Germany travel over to the Aviva Stadium to face an injury hit Republic Of Ireland side. The spine has been ripped out of the Ireland team through a combination of retirements and injury problems and the side looks as Open as I've ever seen it. John O' Shea will partner Darren O'Dea at centre half with Coleman and Ward, both arguably better going forward than defending at full back

The Ireland midfield will consist of only one holding player in Keith Andrews, with McCarthy pulling the strings, flanked by Fahey and McGeady. In the absence of Robbie Keane, Long still can't force his way into the increasingly mind boggling plans of Trapattoni as Cox and Walters start up top.

The Germans have scored an average of 2.44 goals in their last nine away games, failing to score less than twice on each of those occasions. They will be without Gomez and Lahm but with the likes of Ozil, Goetze and the pacey Reus in midfield, they should cut this Ireland team to shreds. Reus and Ozil have been on the German goal trail in recent matches and the former also netted for Dortmund v City in the Champions League. Reus in the double with the German victory is available at 3/1 with Ladbrokes while Ozil (who may be on pens) to net is a big 4.0 with Unibet.

Klose will start up top for Germany and with the crosses of Reus and the through balls and set pieces of Ozil, it's hard not to see at least one goal assist from either of the two and dutching both with Boylesports to assist anytime will get you a great price of 1.8 (if either assist, it's a winner)

Germany won't have it all their own way though as the much more potent attacking Ireland line up should give them a few problems of their own. McCarthy will be a good creative influence from the middle and should feed McGeady and Fahey for crosses into the two big front men. McGeady is 5/1 to assist anytime while Fahey is a whopping 8/1 with Boyles and big John Walters is 6.0 to net with Unibet.

Ireland v Germany Best bets

Tip #1: Both Ireland and Germany to score at 11/10 (Boyles) Tip #2: Over 3.5 goals at 3.2 (Betfair) Tip #3: Dutch Ozil and Reus to assist anytime at 1.81 combined price

Best value longshot: Keith Fahey to assist anytime at 8/1 (Boyles)

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Please note that player attribute ratings are derived from the official PGA Tour and European Tour golf stats, and updated with a rolling average each golf betting year for precision.


Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the increasingly popular annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges and runs the Sharp Sports Bettors Blog.

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan also pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating. For example: Sam Horsfield at Celtic Manor vs TPC Southwind. This number will also portray ability level in terms of strokes gained total. Click "find out more" under the course fit golf betting model for info.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Note: all the most accurate up to date player and course data to input into this interactive golf betting model is in the NicsPicks Course Fit Manual 2022


My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats... find out more

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds. For example - a player shows form of T40 - 24 - 24, but last week he was in the leading PGA Tour group on Sunday with Tiger Woods and had a bad round due to nerves. His finishing position may not fully capture his actual form... See more with our calculators and betting tools

Progressive Form Golf Betting Model



To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

Winning Golf Betting Tips:


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Ross McGowan 400/80 to 1 (place), Tony Finau 50/1, Cam Champ 125/1, Cam Davis 125/1, Matt Jones 80/1 and FRL, Max Homa 60/1, Dean Burmester 55/1, Sam Burns 80/1, KH Lee 200/1, Sergio Garcia 70/1 (FRL), Thorbjorn Olesen 45/1 (FRL), Stewart Cink 150/1, Lucas Herbert 175/1 and 60/1

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