Real Madrid v Man City / Chelsea v Juventus Tips - Champions League

A couple of thoughts on the midweek Champions league fixtures and I was surprised at the initial price on Real Madrid to beat Man city and I'm even more so now. Real Madrid have been backed into as short as 4/7 in places a la Everton last night and massively over rated here IMO. I have them down at only slight odds-on on my tissue

With the potency of Man City on the counter attack and as vulnerable as both the big two in Spain are when teams actually get at their defences, I can see goals for City in this one if they don't adopt too defensive an approach. I expect Tevez to give Ramos and Pepe a Torrid time and Skybet have the latter at 2/1 to be booked which looks good value. Tevez is best priced 3/1 to net while it's 18/1 for him to bag a brace when trying to impress a potential future employer. 13/19 with with Pinnacle Sports on the over 2.5 goals looks the best bet for me here.

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Chelsea will look to kick off their Champions League defence by taking on one of this year's dark horses in Juventus. Again there looks to be value in opposing the home side who are priced a little on the skinny side at 6/5. It's 4/5 with Pinnacle on the asian handicap +0.5 for Juventus, who should have Andrea Pirlo, arguably the player of the Euros, pulling the strings and watch out for the Italian maestro in and around the box, especially from set plays. He looks very big at 8/1 to net for Juventus.

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Golf Player Profiles

Please note that player attribute ratings are derived from the official PGA Tour and European Tour golf stats, and updated with a rolling average each golf betting year for precision.

Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the increasingly popular annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges and runs the Sharp Sports Bettors Blog.

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan also pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating. For example: Sam Horsfield at Celtic Manor vs TPC Southwind. This number will also portray ability level in terms of strokes gained total. Click "find out more" under the course fit golf betting model for info.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Note: all the most accurate up to date player and course data to input into this interactive golf betting model is in the NicsPicks Course Fit Manual 2022

My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats... find out more

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds. For example - a player shows form of T40 - 24 - 24, but last week he was in the leading PGA Tour group on Sunday with Tiger Woods and had a bad round due to nerves. His finishing position may not fully capture his actual form... See more with our calculators and betting tools

Progressive Form Golf Betting Model

To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

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