Man City v Arsenal Tips

Man City return to Premier League action after an enthralling second half against Real Madrid midweek in which we saw five goals in the last quarter of the game. Arsenal are the team with the task of trying to hold out the Premier League title holders and the Londoners are themselves on the back of a three game winning sequence

It was supposedly crisis time for Arsenal after two 0-0 draws to kick off the Premier League but after beating Liverpool 2:0 and hammering Southampton, they're demonstrating the fickleness of football and being considered as potential league winners. We will see just how good they are this weekend however as they take on a Man City team that look a little short in the betting at 4/5.

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It's eleven goals in five appearance for Man City this year and they are yet to fail to hit the target. City were almost flawless at home last year and I prefer the price of 8/11 on over 1.5 home goals. David Silva and Santi Cazorla are two very similar Spanish players and will pull the strings for their respective sides and despite Steve Bould's defensive influence for Arsenal this year, I expect Silva to cause them no end of trouble. 12/1 with VC in the man of the match market looks huge value for me, especially if Alan Smith (Silva's biggest fan) is in the commentary box. Silva at 5/2 to assist anytime represents some value and looks a top bet.

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Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges.

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Input up to date player and course data (from the upcoming course fit manual 2024) into this interactive golf betting model. My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats.

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds.

Interactive Progressive Form Golf Betting Model

To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

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