Golf: Ryder Cup Picks 2012 - Close encounter?

Medinah CC in Illinois is the venue for the Ryder Cup 2012 and the US side are as hungry as ever to get their hands on the trophy with the record books showing a poor six losses from the last eight editions. I will have plenty of in-depth Ryder Cup previews and tips throughout the week in my various columns - scroll down for direct links to these. Ryder cup top points scorer, outright, head to head match betting and Ryder Cup specials are markets I'm looking at. For now I'm going to start with two dutch bets that take my fancy

Taking into account the layout of the course, with US Captain Davis Love setting the lengthy 7,657 yard track up with little rough and fast greens, I expect an American side loaded with big hitters and fast green specialists to be very strong this year. The European Ryder cup side has a number of players who play fulltime on the PGA Tour though and will be far from a pushover. I do fancy the Americans to come out on top in a tight affair but rather than taking odds on for a home Ryder cup victory I will be dutching some correct scorelines.

Ryder Cup best bets

At best prices, if we dutch the US to win the Ryder Cup by a scoreline of 14.5:13.5, 15:13 or 15.5:12.5, we would see a return of 4.10 on our total investment which to me is good value. We may get even better value prices on Betfair later in the week

I'm also looking at the Ryder cup 'Top Wildcard' market. Steve Stricker and Dustin Johnson look very strong in this one and we will get odds of around evens by dutching the two.

Stricker is expected to partner Woods while Dustin Johnson will love the set up of Medinah. I expect both will play four, if not five matches. Of the other runners, Rose may be paired with Poulter and I think their length will have them at a disadvantage around this track while Furyk, Snedeker and Colsaerts may find themselves sitting out at times.

Head to head, individual points and special markets: Ryder Cup Specials Betting

Sergio Garcia loves Medinah. Sergio Garcia loves the Ryder cup. Sergio loves Luke Donald and Jose Maria Olazabal loves Sergio Garcia. Guess who my value pick for top European points scorer is? Find out at my Ryder Cup Preview for Unibet!

A look at the teams, potential lineups and best trading opportunities at this year's Ryder Cup, for Matchbook Media: Ryder cup Trading Preview

For better prices or for in-play Ryder cup trading - £20 no loss bet @ Betfair

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No stress free Ryder Cup golf bets this week - Up to £200 with Bet365

Above are some free bet offers to take advantage of for this years Ryder Cup. It is much appreciated if you sign up and avail of them through my aff links.

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Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges.

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating.

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Input up to date player and course data (from the upcoming course fit manual 2024) into this interactive golf betting model. My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats.

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds.

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To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

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