NICSPICKS GOLF BETTING TIPS

New: Course Fit Manual 2022

Liverpool v Man City Tips - Trouble From Tevez?

Liverpool host Man City in the big Sunday Premier League clash where Brendan Rodger's side look to bounce back from opening day defeat while Mancini's Man City look to kick on from a slightly fortunate three points on the opening day


Man City have only picked up one point in their last two trips in the Premier League to Anfield. Andy Carroll caused them serious problems in one of his first appearances for the Reds and it remains to be seen if he will be thrust back into action again. If he's left on the bench, I think Man city will have enough to cope with Liverpool threats from elsewhere and find it hard to see Liverpool recording a victory despite a confidence boosting 1-0 win in the Europa League midweek, albeit against Hearts.

Get a free £25 bet on the football with William Hill

Liverpool conceded three goals v WBA last Saturday and look shaky in defence. With Man City's potency on the counter, this may spell trouble for the Reds, especially in the shape of a fit and Hungry again Carlos Tevez. Aguero will miss out but look for Tevez to get on the end of defence splitting passes from the likes of Silva and Nasri playing in the hole. Tevez can be backed at a great value 4/1 with Betfred to score in a Man City victory or best priced 10/1 to bag two or more goals. The biggest threat for Liverpool may come from set pieces and watch out for Man City target Daniel Agger, a real danger from the back who is priced at 12/1 to net for the Reds (Update: Agger suspended).

Top Tip: Man City Draw no bet (A/H 0) v Liverpool 7/9 with Pinnacle
Best value tip: Tevez to score anytime v Liverpool @ 9/4 (Coral)

Best odds, lowest margins and highest limits at PinnacleSports

Golf Player Profiles



Please note that player attribute ratings are derived from the official PGA Tour and European Tour golf stats, and updated with a rolling average each golf betting year for precision.


Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the increasingly popular annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges.

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Expected strokes gained course fit (xSGF) can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating. For example: Sam Horsfield at Celtic Manor vs TPC Southwind. This number will also portray ability level in terms of strokes gained total. Click "find out more" under the course fit golf betting model for info.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Note: all the most accurate up to date player and course data to input into this interactive golf betting model is in the NicsPicks Course Fit Manual 2022


My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats... find out more

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds. For example - a player shows form of T40 - 24 - 24, but last week he was in the leading PGA Tour group on Sunday with Tiger Woods and had a bad round due to nerves. His finishing position may not fully capture his actual form.

Progressive Form Golf Betting Model



To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

Winning Golf Betting Tips:


Winning golf betting tips? If you'd like to support me with a beer or 2, you can Buy me a beer here and be auto added to members tips mailing list. Very much optional but appreciated. Cheers lads.

Ross McGowan 400/80 to 1 (place), Tony Finau 50/1, Cam Champ 125/1, Cam Davis 125/1, Matt Jones 80/1 and FRL, Max Homa 60/1, Dean Burmester 55/1, Sam Burns 80/1, KH Lee 200/1, Sergio Garcia 70/1 (FRL), Thorbjorn Olesen 45/1 (FRL), Stewart Cink 150/1, Lucas Herbert 175/1 and 60/1

Best for Golf Betting

  • PGA Tour Official (stats)

  • European Tour (DP World)

  • OWGR.com (rankings and form)

  • Nicspicks Golf Betting Tips


Golf Betting Tips Strategy

  1. Course fit and strokes gained in golf betting
  2. Tips: How to win betting on golf online
  3. Ryder Cup betting tips
  4. Golf Betting Tips Guides


  5. Golf majors: The Masters - Open Championship - US PGA Championship - US Open. Tiger Woods.