Scroll for course fit and progressive form models & info

Liverpool v Arsenal Tips - Raheem a Sterling Punt

Liverpool take on Arsenal this Sunday lunchtime in what's already a key game in terms of shaping the two team's respective seasons. Liverpool dominated Man City for large parts last week but due to a couple of defensive lapses, only managed to secure a solitary point. Arsenal without RVP have failed to net in two games and both will be looking for all three points to kick start their campaigns


During the summer I was tweeting that I'd like to see Brendan Rogers give young Raheem Sterling some game time for Liverpool and it seems he has no qualms about doing just that, having thrust Sterling in at the deep end last week vs the champions. Sterling for me was the best Liverpool player in that game and having being left out from the start midweek v Hearts, I expect him to retain his PL place v Arsenal.

Arsenal like their full backs to get forward and are often left open at the back, especially down the flanks and Sterling can benefit from this and may be the best attacking outlet for Liverpool. Boylesports are offering a new market this season for 'anytime assists' and Sterling looks a fantastic value tip at 7/1 to assist any goal for Liverpool. Taking all this into account and bearing in mind that Downing was used at left back midweek, the home corner markets are also worth considering in the Liverpool v Arsenal game. William Hill are current best industry price 1/1 on over 6 Liverpool corners while the -1 corner handicap on Liverpool is available at 5/6 with SJ.

Free £25 bet on the Liverpool v Arsenal game with William Hill

Despite Arsenal's lack of goals thus far in the Premier League, they will be full of attacking intent v Liverpool and I'm expecting goals in this game. Both teams are weak defensively and will look to play passing, forward thinking football. Arsenal will likely line up with the guile of Cazorla in behind Giroud, with the pacey Gervinho and Podolski on the flanks while I can see Luis Suarez causing all sorts of problems for the Arsenal defence with the space he is likely to be given. Suarez demonstrated what he can do when teams come forward against Liverpool with his goal v Hearts midweek while running from halfway with Hearts pushing forward. Over 2.5 goals is best priced at 1/1 with Pinnacle Sports and looks the top tip here. Memories of the 4-4 at Anfield a few seasons back.

Liverpool v Arsenal advised tips

Top tip: Liverpool v Arsenal over 2.5 goals @ 1/1 with Pinnacle Sports
Goal scorer tip: Luis Suarez to score anytime for Liverpool at 2/1 (Coral)
Best value tip: Raheem Sterling to assist a goal for Liverpool @ 7/1 (Boyle)

Best odds, lowest margins and highest limits at PinnacleSports

Golf Player Profiles



Please note that player attribute ratings are derived from the official PGA Tour and European Tour golf stats, and updated with a rolling average each golf betting year for precision.


Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the increasingly popular annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges and runs the Sharp Sports Bettors Blog.

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan also pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating. For example: Sam Horsfield at Celtic Manor vs TPC Southwind. This number will also portray ability level in terms of strokes gained total. Click "find out more" under the course fit golf betting model for info.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Note: all the most accurate up to date player and course data to input into this interactive golf betting model is in the NicsPicks Course Fit Manual 2022


My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats... find out more

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds. For example - a player shows form of T40 - 24 - 24, but last week he was in the leading PGA Tour group on Sunday with Tiger Woods and had a bad round due to nerves. His finishing position may not fully capture his actual form... See more with our calculators and betting tools

Progressive Form Golf Betting Model



To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

Winning Golf Betting Tips:


Winning golf betting tips? If you'd like to support me with a beer or 2, you can Buy me a beer here and be auto added to members tips mailing list. Very much optional but appreciated. Cheers lads.

Ross McGowan 400/80 to 1 (place), Tony Finau 50/1, Cam Champ 125/1, Cam Davis 125/1, Matt Jones 80/1 and FRL, Max Homa 60/1, Dean Burmester 55/1, Sam Burns 80/1, KH Lee 200/1, Sergio Garcia 70/1 (FRL), Thorbjorn Olesen 45/1 (FRL), Stewart Cink 150/1, Lucas Herbert 175/1 and 60/1

Best for Golf Betting

  • PGA Tour Official (stats)

  • European Tour (DP World)

  • OWGR.com (rankings and form)

  • Nicspicks Golf Betting Tips


Golf Betting Tips Strategy

  1. Course fit and strokes gained in golf betting
  2. Tips: How to win betting on golf online
  3. Ryder Cup betting tips
  4. Golf Betting Tips Guides
  5. Who are the best sports handicappers?


  6. Golf majors: The Masters 2022 preview and picks - Open Championship - US PGA Championship - US Open. Tiger Woods.