Community Shield - Chelsea v Manchester City Tips

Chelsea entertain Manchester City in the premier league annual curtain raiser this Sunday and the two team's pre-season campaigns have produced contrasting results. It's four wins in their last five for Mancini's Manchester City with four clean sheets and eleven goals in the process while


Di matteo's Chelsea side have lost their last two warm ups. That form goes out the window for the Community Shield and I feel chelsea are overpriced at 12/5 or at a top industry 14/11 with Pinnacle Sports to lift the trophy. I'm expecting a good season from Chelsea with a return to the counter attacking style that saw them record major success under Mourinho. New signings such as Hazard and Marin may feature on Sunday and Torres and Essien will be like new signings. I'm expecting Torres to start as he means to carry on in the Community Shield and 12/5 looks value for the Spaniard to continue his Euro 2012 form and find the net.

Manchester City as ever will be tough to break down and Community Shield games are often tight affairs. I feel their outright price is short but if you do fancy them, 10/3 best price on a 1 goal winning margin looks a top value bet. Yaya Toure is a very big 5/1 with william hill to net for Manchester City and looks worth a small investment.

Community Shield advised tips

Top Tip: Chelsea asian handicap +0.25 1.917 with Pinnacle
Best value: Fernando Torres anytime scorer @ 12/5 best price

Best odds, lowest margins and highest limits at PinnacleSports

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Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges.


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What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Input up to date player and course data (from the upcoming course fit manual 2024) into this interactive golf betting model. My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats.

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds.

Interactive Progressive Form Golf Betting Model



To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

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