Olympic football team specials

The Olympic football starts today and I have a few more eye catching bets to point out in the team goal scorer markets. You can see my full outright preview here. Uruguay kick off today against the UAE and Bet365 are extremely generous on the chances of Cavani or Suarez being leading goal scorer for their team. Both are priced at 11/4 and dutching the two will get you a price of 1.88. That represents huge value as it's hard to see both being outdone.

Watching the GB warmup match v Brazil, Daniel Sturridge was given a lone role up top and looked isolated. If Pearce is to adopt the same tactics with the likes of Bellamy stuck out on the wing, Sturridge is a very good bet to be GB top scorer and William Hill are top industry price in this market @ 7/2.

Neymar will be on penalty duty for Brazil and Leandro seems to have got the nod to play up top, leaving Pato on the bench. This may change over the course of the tournament however, leaving both with less game time while Hulk will operate largely on the flanks. Neymar will be predominantly central and looks top value at 11/4 with Bet365 to be top Brazil scorer. It's 14/1 the double of Sturridge and Neymar with the same firm and that looks worth a small investment.

Last but not least, Bluesquare go a generous 12/1 on Juan Mata top scoring for Spain. Possibly on penalty duty, Mata will adopt the role he used to play for Valencia where he was lethal. Not a great scoring year for Chelsea last season but I fancy him to recapture form of old at the Olympics and he looks a live runner at a big price.

If you fancy some free bets on the Olympics, William Hill offer a free £25 bet on signup while Bet365 offer up to £200 for new customers.

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Golf Player Profiles

Please note that player attribute ratings are derived from the official PGA Tour and European Tour golf stats, and updated with a rolling average each golf betting year for precision.

Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the increasingly popular annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges and runs the Sharp Sports Bettors Blog.

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan also pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating. For example: Sam Horsfield at Celtic Manor vs TPC Southwind. This number will also portray ability level in terms of strokes gained total. Click "find out more" under the course fit golf betting model for info.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Note: all the most accurate up to date player and course data to input into this interactive golf betting model is in the NicsPicks Course Fit Manual 2022

My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats... find out more

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds. For example - a player shows form of T40 - 24 - 24, but last week he was in the leading PGA Tour group on Sunday with Tiger Woods and had a bad round due to nerves. His finishing position may not fully capture his actual form... See more with our calculators and betting tools

Progressive Form Golf Betting Model

To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

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