WGC Cadillac Championship Golf Picks 2012

Huge event this week as a restricted field tees it up at the Blue Monster, Doral, for the WGC Cadillac Championship. Monster in name but not by nature as a look at the leaderboards down the years show you some low scoring and often domination by the bombers. Players that can overpower courses and make a lot of birdies tend to go well at the Cadillac championship and that's one factor to keep an eye on this week when choosing your WGC Cadillac Championship golf picks. Big value further down the field this week also on some of the bigger names that havn't started the season too well and due to the presence of the likes of McIlroy, Woods and Mickelson, who all have the game to dominate Doral.

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WGC Cadillac championship Picks
Pick 1: 0.75pts e/w Luke Donald @ 30/1 with B365: Up to £200 in free bets I simply can't ignore this price on a player who last year featured in every tournament he teed it up in. T6 in the 2011 Cadillac Championship, deceptively long off the tee and 1st in scoring average and strokes gained putting in 2011, Donald will be back in full flow very soon, possibly this week.

Pick 2: 0.75pts e/w Adam Scott @ 40/1 (general) Many of you know by now that Scott is my big fancy for the year and this price is huge relative to the field. Slow start to the season with only two events played but one of those a top 20 at the NT Open. Scott ranked 5th in total driving in 2011 and with his new found putting talents, the course knowledge of Caddy Williams and the ability to go super low on any given day, this could be where Scott kick starts his season. Two top 10's for Scott at the WGC Cadillac Championship in the last five years.

Pick 3: 0.5pts e/w Matt Kuchar @ 40/1 (general) Kuchar seems to be completely under the radar this week and I'm not sure why. 4th in scoring average in 2011, 6th in the all round and boasts a 5th and T3rd in last two starts at the WGC Cadillac Championship, Kuchar has again started the season in solid form, most recently T5th in the Matchplay.

Pick 4: 0.5pts e/w Webb simpson @ 40/1 (general) Not a lot of course form for Simpson, maybe hence the price but he really only shot onto the radar last year. Already two top 10's to his name in 2012 and he has continued where he left off at the back end of last season. If he gets his lethal short stick going this week at the WGC Cadillac Championship, he will be right up there in contention. Simpson is already ranking 6th in the birdie average stat on tour this year.

Pick 5: 0.5pts e/w Rickie Fowler @ 50/1 (general) A toss up between Fowler and Jason Day and hard to ignore Day at such a big price on a course right up his street but the exact same applies to Fowler. T8th at the WGC Cadillac Championships last year, Fowler fits the aggressive, birdie machine type profile we are looking for. His game is obviously in great shape, finishing in a tie for 7th at the Honda on a course I'd have thought wouldn't fit his game at all.

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What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan also pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating. For example: Sam Horsfield at Celtic Manor vs TPC Southwind. This number will also portray ability level in terms of strokes gained total. Click "find out more" under the course fit golf betting model for info.

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Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds. For example - a player shows form of T40 - 24 - 24, but last week he was in the leading PGA Tour group on Sunday with Tiger Woods and had a bad round due to nerves. His finishing position may not fully capture his actual form... See more with our calculators and betting tools

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To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

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