Chelsea v Napoli Tips - Pace On The Break

BET365 are running their in play £50 free bet offer again on the Chelsea v Napoli game. Click here for more info...

A very potent Napoli travel to Chelsea tomorrow in the Champions League, carrying with them a two goal advantage. Chelsea need to push from the start if they are to have any chance of going through and there are not many better teams than Napoli on the counter attack at the moment.

Napoli come into the game off the back of a 6-3 demolition of Cagliari and in their last five away from home, they've hit the net eight times. The Chelsea rear guard is all over the place currently and things are up in the air after the sacking of AVB. Terry may return but if he does, a Luiz - Terry partnership could be ripped apart by the pace of Lavezzi, guile of Hamsik and finishing of Cavani. I'm looking at goals at both ends in this one. It was Lavezzi that did the damage in the first Napoli v Chelsea game and look for him to cause more problems on the counter.

Chelsea v Napoli Advised Tips
Tip 1: Chelsea v Napoli Both teams to score @ 4/6 (general)
Tip 2: Napoli over 1.5 goals @ 21/10 (SB)
Tip 3: Lavezzi anytime scorer for Napoli @ 5/2 (general)

Market Value
The market hasn't yet been formed but with Chelsea likely to be caught on the counter on numerous occasions, the player bookings are of interest. The rash Luiz and the slow Terry as well as the full backs being caught when they go forward are all susceptible to a booking in this game. A red card at any time may also be a decent play at best price 5/2 currently with Ladbrokes. It's also 5/2 on a penalty being awarded.. Waiting on prices for player bookings.

Below are some new account offers with bookmakers regularly used on Nicspicks. Much appreciated if you sign up through site links
Free bet offers: Up to £200 in free bets with Bet365 | £50 free bet with Ladbrokes | £50 free bet with Betfred | £25 no loss @ Betfair
Winning golf betting tips? If you'd like to support me with a beer or 2 from your winnings, I'd love if you Buy me a beer here, through the image, or revolut me @Bryannich

Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges.

Buy my Golf Betting Book £15.99 or 1/2 price on Kindle

<b>Buy my Golf Betting Book</b> £15.99 or 1/2 price on Kindle
Angles and Edges: a journey through the evolution of golf betting and the markets

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Input up to date player and course data (from the upcoming course fit manual 2024) into this interactive golf betting model. My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats.

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds.

Interactive Progressive Form Golf Betting Model

To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

Best for Golf Betting

Golf Betting Tips Strategy

  1. Course fit and strokes gained in golf betting
  2. Tips: How to win betting on golf online
  3. Ryder Cup betting tips
  4. Golf Betting Tips Guides
  5. Who are the best sports handicappers?

  6. GOLF MAJORS 2024: The Masters - US PGA Championship - US Open - Open Championship