NICSPICKS GOLF BETTING TIPS

New: Course Fit Manual 2022

Champions League - Benfica v Zenit Tips

Zenit come into this Champions League fixture only needing a draw to advance to the next phase of the competition but for me, they're not a team capable of playing for a point. Benfica will come at them fast from the start and if they get an early breakthrough, this game will be a cracker. Zenit have kept only one clean sheet in their last 11 in all competitions away from home while Benfica have scored 14 in their last five at home, including two in a 2:3 reverse against big rivals Porto in the league last Friday and will be looking to bounce back.

Hitman Oscar Cardozo scored a brace in the Porto game and also netted in the reverse fixture and he will the the man Benfica look to tonight. One goal and Benfica will have the egde on Zenit due to two away goals. For Zenit, they are generally set up to attack and come into the game off the back of a 2-2 away draw to CSKA where Kershakov also landed a brace. Danny will continue to be a big miss for them in creative areas. There's one name though that consistently pops up on the scoresheet in big games at big prices for Zenit and that's Roman Shirokov. Again, a brace in the reverse fixture and also netted for Russia in the recent international break and he's one I have my eye on at 6/1 on Betfair to score anytime. Rodrigo may return for Benfica to add to the firepower.

The Premium service this week will include my fancies from the Europa League and in running trades for the WGC Cadillac golf Championship. Closing dates for this period very soon so sign up asap if interested. 8/10 football tips so far averaging just under 2.0.

Benfica v Zenit Advised Tips
Tip 1: Benfica to score over 1.5 goals v Zenit @ 8/11 (general)
Tip 2: Score/win double - Cardozo/Benfica @ 21/10 (Paddypower)
Tip 3: Roman shirokov anytime scorer for Zenit @ 6/1 (Betfair)

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Golf Player Profiles



Please note that player attribute ratings are derived from the official PGA Tour and European Tour golf stats, and updated with a rolling average each golf betting year for precision.


Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the increasingly popular annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges.

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Expected strokes gained course fit (xSGF) can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating. For example: Sam Horsfield at Celtic Manor vs TPC Southwind. This number will also portray ability level in terms of strokes gained total. Click "find out more" under the course fit golf betting model for info.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Note: all the most accurate up to date player and course data to input into this interactive golf betting model is in the NicsPicks Course Fit Manual 2022


My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats... find out more

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds. For example - a player shows form of T40 - 24 - 24, but last week he was in the leading PGA Tour group on Sunday with Tiger Woods and had a bad round due to nerves. His finishing position may not fully capture his actual form.

Progressive Form Golf Betting Model



To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

Winning Golf Betting Tips:


Winning golf betting tips? If you'd like to support me with a beer or 2, you can Buy me a beer here and be auto added to members tips mailing list. Very much optional but appreciated. Cheers lads.

Ross McGowan 400/80 to 1 (place), Tony Finau 50/1, Cam Champ 125/1, Cam Davis 125/1, Matt Jones 80/1 and FRL, Max Homa 60/1, Dean Burmester 55/1, Sam Burns 80/1, KH Lee 200/1, Sergio Garcia 70/1 (FRL), Thorbjorn Olesen 45/1 (FRL), Stewart Cink 150/1, Lucas Herbert 175/1 and 60/1

Best for Golf Betting

  • PGA Tour Official (stats)

  • European Tour (DP World)

  • OWGR.com (rankings and form)

  • Nicspicks Golf Betting Tips


Golf Betting Tips Strategy

  1. Course fit and strokes gained in golf betting
  2. Tips: How to win betting on golf online
  3. Ryder Cup betting tips
  4. Golf Betting Tips Guides


  5. Golf majors: The Masters - Open Championship - US PGA Championship - US Open. Tiger Woods.