Stoke v Valencia Tips - Europa League

There looks to be some tasty Europa League knockout stage fixtures this week and top of the billing for me is the Stoke v Valencia game. Don't forget to join my premium service for my best football tips and advice.

Stoke v Valencia Europa League tips: An area I'm looking at in this one is the vulnerability of the Valencia defense in the air. This has been a problem for them this year in various competitions and I'm intrigued to see how they will cope with the aerial bombardment from Stoke. Whichever strikers Stoke go with, there looks to be value around with some books close to 3/1 on Walters and Jones, with Crouch currently best priced 9/4.

This is a great time to try and take advantage of Betfred's Double Delight offer where backing a Stoke striker could prove very profitable. Click link then 'sport' then 'exclusive offers' for more information. Betfred also offer a £50 free bet for new accounts through their promotions link.

I'm also waiting for the 'to score a header market' to come out on the Stoke v Valencia Europa League game where I'm planning on dutching the two Stoke strikers and possibly Robert Huth if possible. Roberto Soldado will be the obvious threat to the Stoke defense and with the general quality of the Valencia team, this looks like it may be an exciting end to end game. I'll also be having a small bet on Stoke to score two or more which will look great value if Valencia are as vulnerable from crosses as they have been.

Europa League Betting - Stoke v Valencia advised tips
Tip 1: Stoke v Valencia Both teams to score @ 10/11 (general)
Tip 2: Stoke to score over 1.5 goals @ 15/8 (Coral)
Tip 3: Dutch both stoke strikers to score from a header (prices unavailable currently)

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Ross McGowan 400/80 to 1 (place), Tony Finau 50/1, Cam Champ 125/1, Cam Davis 125/1, Matt Jones 80/1 and FRL, Max Homa 60/1, Dean Burmester 55/1, Sam Burns 80/1, KH Lee 200/1, Sergio Garcia 70/1 (FRL), Thorbjorn Olesen 45/1 (FRL), Stewart Cink 150/1, Lucas Herbert 175/1 and 60/1

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Please note that player attribute ratings are derived from the official PGA Tour and European Tour golf stats, and updated with a rolling average each golf betting year for precision.


Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the increasingly popular annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges and runs the Sharp Sports Bettors Blog.

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan also pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating. For example: Sam Horsfield at Celtic Manor vs TPC Southwind. This number will also portray ability level in terms of strokes gained total. Click "find out more" under the course fit golf betting model for info.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Note: all the most accurate up to date player and course data to input into this interactive golf betting model is in the NicsPicks Course Fit Manual 2022


My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats... find out more

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds. For example - a player shows form of T40 - 24 - 24, but last week he was in the leading PGA Tour group on Sunday with Tiger Woods and had a bad round due to nerves. His finishing position may not fully capture his actual form... See more with our calculators and betting tools

Progressive Form Golf Betting Model



To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

Best for Golf Betting

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Golf Betting Tips Strategy

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    6. Golf majors: The Masters 2022 preview and picks - Open Championship - US PGA Championship - US Open. Tiger Woods.