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Napoli v Chelsea Tips

It's possibly the last chance saloon for AVB's reign as Chelsea manager as they face an in form Napoli side who are very tough opposition on their own patch. Chelsea have been woeful of late with no wins in four, conceding six goals in the process. They've only scored two goals in their last four away from home and although Didier Drogba has returned from the Afcon, he's not the force he used to be. Juan Mata continues to struggle to find the brilliant goalscoring form he had at Valencia and leaving Lampard out of the starting lineups is a huge mistake.

Premium service this week includes a look at Basle v Bayern.

Napoli on the other hand have won their last two matches, scoring five goals without conceding; Indeed they've only let in two goals in their last five at home so the stats don't make good reading for a misfiring Chelsea side. It's 15 goals in 22 league games for Edinson Cavani this year in a Napoli side that scored in all six champions League group games. Cavani, Hamsik and Lavezzi / Pandev will give the Chelsea back line a torrid time, especially if Villas Boas is bold and goes for all three points. Vargas may be unavailable for this one, luckily for Chelsea. David Luiz may struggle again if a starter and may be worth looking at when the player booking markets are formed. Cavani should also be on pens and it wouldn't be a surprise to see the home side awarded one tonight. 7/1 can be had on Napoli to score from the spot with Bet365 - Up to £200 in free bets with Bet365

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Napoli v Chelsea Advised Tips
Tip 1: Napoli win v Chelsea @ 7/5 (PP)
Tip 2: Edinson Cavani anytime scorer for Napoli v Chelsea @ 15/8 / to score a brace @ 14/1 (Paddypower)

Golf Player Profiles



Please note that player attribute ratings are derived from the official PGA Tour and European Tour golf stats, and updated with a rolling average each golf betting year for precision.


Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the increasingly popular annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges and runs the Sharp Sports Bettors Blog.

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan also pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating. For example: Sam Horsfield at Celtic Manor vs TPC Southwind. This number will also portray ability level in terms of strokes gained total. Click "find out more" under the course fit golf betting model for info.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Note: all the most accurate up to date player and course data to input into this interactive golf betting model is in the NicsPicks Course Fit Manual 2022


My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats... find out more

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds. For example - a player shows form of T40 - 24 - 24, but last week he was in the leading PGA Tour group on Sunday with Tiger Woods and had a bad round due to nerves. His finishing position may not fully capture his actual form... See more with our calculators and betting tools

Progressive Form Golf Betting Model



To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

Winning Golf Betting Tips:


Winning golf betting tips? If you'd like to support me with a beer or 2, you can Buy me a beer here and be auto added to members tips mailing list. Very much optional but appreciated. Cheers lads.

Ross McGowan 400/80 to 1 (place), Tony Finau 50/1, Cam Champ 125/1, Cam Davis 125/1, Matt Jones 80/1 and FRL, Max Homa 60/1, Dean Burmester 55/1, Sam Burns 80/1, KH Lee 200/1, Sergio Garcia 70/1 (FRL), Thorbjorn Olesen 45/1 (FRL), Stewart Cink 150/1, Lucas Herbert 175/1 and 60/1

Best for Golf Betting

  • PGA Tour Official (stats)

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  • OWGR.com (rankings and form)

  • Nicspicks Golf Betting Tips


Golf Betting Tips Strategy

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  6. Golf majors: The Masters 2022 preview and picks - Open Championship - US PGA Championship - US Open. Tiger Woods.