Napoli v Chelsea Tips

It's possibly the last chance saloon for AVB's reign as Chelsea manager as they face an in form Napoli side who are very tough opposition on their own patch. Chelsea have been woeful of late with no wins in four, conceding six goals in the process. They've only scored two goals in their last four away from home and although Didier Drogba has returned from the Afcon, he's not the force he used to be. Juan Mata continues to struggle to find the brilliant goalscoring form he had at Valencia and leaving Lampard out of the starting lineups is a huge mistake.

Premium service this week includes a look at Basle v Bayern.

Napoli on the other hand have won their last two matches, scoring five goals without conceding; Indeed they've only let in two goals in their last five at home so the stats don't make good reading for a misfiring Chelsea side. It's 15 goals in 22 league games for Edinson Cavani this year in a Napoli side that scored in all six champions League group games. Cavani, Hamsik and Lavezzi / Pandev will give the Chelsea back line a torrid time, especially if Villas Boas is bold and goes for all three points. Vargas may be unavailable for this one, luckily for Chelsea. David Luiz may struggle again if a starter and may be worth looking at when the player booking markets are formed. Cavani should also be on pens and it wouldn't be a surprise to see the home side awarded one tonight. 7/1 can be had on Napoli to score from the spot with Bet365 - Up to £200 in free bets with Bet365

Below are some of the top account offers for bookmakers popular on Nicspicks. Much appreciated if you sign up through my links

Best new account free bet offers:
Up to £200 in free bets with Bet365 | £50 free bet with Ladbrokes | £50 free bet with Betfred | £20 no loss bet @ Betfair

Napoli v Chelsea Advised Tips
Tip 1: Napoli win v Chelsea @ 7/5 (PP)
Tip 2: Edinson Cavani anytime scorer for Napoli v Chelsea @ 15/8 / to score a brace @ 14/1 (Paddypower)
Winning golf betting tips? If you'd like to support me with a beer or 2 from your winnings, I'd love if you Buy me a beer here, through the image, or revolut me @Bryannich

Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges.

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Input up to date player and course data (from the upcoming course fit manual 2024) into this interactive golf betting model. My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats.

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds.

Interactive Progressive Form Golf Betting Model

To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

Best for Golf Betting

Golf Betting Tips Strategy

  1. Course fit and strokes gained in golf betting
  2. Tips: How to win betting on golf online
  3. Ryder Cup betting tips
  4. Golf Betting Tips Guides
  5. Who are the best sports handicappers?

  6. GOLF MAJORS 2024: The Masters - US PGA Championship - US Open - Open Championship