NICSPICKS GOLF BETTING TIPS

New: Course Fit Manual 2022

Carling Cup Final Tips - Liverpool v Cardiff

Liverpool face Cardiff in the first final showdown of the year on Sunday and Kenny is desperate to return silverware to the Reds' dressing room with a Carling cup final win. Liverpool won't get a better chance vs Championship side Cardiff and off the back of a demolition of Brighton, I fancy more of the same from Liverpool at Wembley. Also, this weekend in the football for Premium service subscribers, I have tips for the Arsenal v Spurs and Villarreal v Bilbao games, including a correct score trading strategy.

Liverpool have been threatening to hammer teams all season, creating chances in abundance but failing to put them away. Those problems ended last week with a 6-1 thumping of Brighton and with Suarez and Gerrard finally getting a chance to form a partnership, those goals could now start flowing and I fear for Cardiff at this year's Carling Cup Final. Craig Bellamy will be itching for a start against Cardiff, his home team, and may get the nod over Andy Carroll. If he plays, his pace will cause all sorts of problems to a Cardiff side that have shipped 10 goals in their last 5 games, including three goals in two of those matches.

Betfred are going best price on all anytime goalscorers in the Liverpool v Cardiff Carling Cup final. They are also refunding all losing first/last goalscorer, correct score and double results if Bellamy scores the last goal: Free £50 bet for new accounts through this link. Click on promotions tab.

Carling Cup Final - Liverpool v Cardiff Advised Tips
Tip 1: Liverpool to score over 2.5 goals @ 7/4 Ladbrokes - £50 free bet
Tip 2: Score / win double L. Suarez/Liverpool @ 7/5 (B/sq)
Tip 3: Man of the match dutching - Suarez, Gerrard or Bellamy at 1.75 (best combined priced)

Betfair are running their Mega minute competition. Win £1000 by predicting the first goal time in the Liverpool v Cardiff Carling Cup final. Click link and then the offers tab and "offer 4". T&C's now apply.

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Golf Player Profiles



Please note that player attribute ratings are derived from the official PGA Tour and European Tour golf stats, and updated with a rolling average each golf betting year for precision.


Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the increasingly popular annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges.

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Expected strokes gained course fit (xSGF) can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating. For example: Sam Horsfield at Celtic Manor vs TPC Southwind. This number will also portray ability level in terms of strokes gained total. Click "find out more" under the course fit golf betting model for info.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Note: all the most accurate up to date player and course data to input into this interactive golf betting model is in the NicsPicks Course Fit Manual 2022


My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats... find out more

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds. For example - a player shows form of T40 - 24 - 24, but last week he was in the leading PGA Tour group on Sunday with Tiger Woods and had a bad round due to nerves. His finishing position may not fully capture his actual form.

Progressive Form Golf Betting Model



To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

Winning Golf Betting Tips:


Winning golf betting tips? If you'd like to support me with a beer or 2, you can Buy me a beer here and be auto added to members tips mailing list. Very much optional but appreciated. Cheers lads.

Ross McGowan 400/80 to 1 (place), Tony Finau 50/1, Cam Champ 125/1, Cam Davis 125/1, Matt Jones 80/1 and FRL, Max Homa 60/1, Dean Burmester 55/1, Sam Burns 80/1, KH Lee 200/1, Sergio Garcia 70/1 (FRL), Thorbjorn Olesen 45/1 (FRL), Stewart Cink 150/1, Lucas Herbert 175/1 and 60/1

Best for Golf Betting

  • PGA Tour Official (stats)

  • European Tour (DP World)

  • OWGR.com (rankings and form)

  • Nicspicks Golf Betting Tips


Golf Betting Tips Strategy

  1. Course fit and strokes gained in golf betting
  2. Tips: How to win betting on golf online
  3. Ryder Cup betting tips
  4. Golf Betting Tips Guides


  5. Golf majors: The Masters - Open Championship - US PGA Championship - US Open. Tiger Woods.