Carling Cup Final Tips - Liverpool v Cardiff

Liverpool face Cardiff in the first final showdown of the year on Sunday and Kenny is desperate to return silverware to the Reds' dressing room with a Carling cup final win. Liverpool won't get a better chance vs Championship side Cardiff and off the back of a demolition of Brighton, I fancy more of the same from Liverpool at Wembley. Also, this weekend in the football for Premium service subscribers, I have tips for the Arsenal v Spurs and Villarreal v Bilbao games, including a correct score trading strategy.

Liverpool have been threatening to hammer teams all season, creating chances in abundance but failing to put them away. Those problems ended last week with a 6-1 thumping of Brighton and with Suarez and Gerrard finally getting a chance to form a partnership, those goals could now start flowing and I fear for Cardiff at this year's Carling Cup Final. Craig Bellamy will be itching for a start against Cardiff, his home team, and may get the nod over Andy Carroll. If he plays, his pace will cause all sorts of problems to a Cardiff side that have shipped 10 goals in their last 5 games, including three goals in two of those matches.

Betfred are going best price on all anytime goalscorers in the Liverpool v Cardiff Carling Cup final. They are also refunding all losing first/last goalscorer, correct score and double results if Bellamy scores the last goal: Free £50 bet for new accounts through this link. Click on promotions tab.

Carling Cup Final - Liverpool v Cardiff Advised Tips
Tip 1: Liverpool to score over 2.5 goals @ 7/4 Ladbrokes - £50 free bet
Tip 2: Score / win double L. Suarez/Liverpool @ 7/5 (B/sq)
Tip 3: Man of the match dutching - Suarez, Gerrard or Bellamy at 1.75 (best combined priced)

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What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan also pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating. For example: Sam Horsfield at Celtic Manor vs TPC Southwind. This number will also portray ability level in terms of strokes gained total. Click "find out more" under the course fit golf betting model for info.

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Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds. For example - a player shows form of T40 - 24 - 24, but last week he was in the leading PGA Tour group on Sunday with Tiger Woods and had a bad round due to nerves. His finishing position may not fully capture his actual form... See more with our calculators and betting tools

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