NICSPICKS GOLF BETTING TIPS

New: Course Fit Manual 2022

Malaga v Atletico Tip

Malaga v Atletico Trade Of The Week
Back over 2.5 for 3units @ 1.9. Place a stop loss at half time if 0-0. This will return approximately 40% of your stake. If only two goals have been scored and the under 2.5 hits 1.3, trade out to recoup approximately 50% of your liability. This will be around the 85 minute mark.

Malaga v Atletico: Atletico Madrid have shipped 20 goals on the road in seven La Liga matches this season and conceded no less than 3 goals in each of their last four away games. A new era for Atletico madrid as Diego Simeone has taken the reigns and players will be looking to impress. Malaga's stats at home this season see over 2.5 goals hit in five of their seven home games and they have far from fulfilled their potential. Off the back of a 2:3 cracker in the cup at Real Madrid midweek, where Van Nistelrooy was back in the starting lineup. Both teams are full of attacking talent and vulnerable in defence and I'm expecting an open game.

Update: (Result) 0:0 I called this one completely wrong with Diego Simeone actually adopting a defensive strategy, dropping Adrian Lopez, and another manager in La Liga now adopting a variation of the 4-5-1 strategy, making for another dour game. The stop loss kicked in at half time for a 2 unit minus. Loss -2units.

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Golf Player Profiles



Please note that player attribute ratings are derived from the official PGA Tour and European Tour golf stats, and updated with a rolling average each golf betting year for precision.


Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the increasingly popular annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges.

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Expected strokes gained course fit (xSGF) can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating. For example: Sam Horsfield at Celtic Manor vs TPC Southwind. This number will also portray ability level in terms of strokes gained total. Click "find out more" under the course fit golf betting model for info.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Note: all the most accurate up to date player and course data to input into this interactive golf betting model is in the NicsPicks Course Fit Manual 2022


My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats... find out more

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds. For example - a player shows form of T40 - 24 - 24, but last week he was in the leading PGA Tour group on Sunday with Tiger Woods and had a bad round due to nerves. His finishing position may not fully capture his actual form.

Progressive Form Golf Betting Model



To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

Winning Golf Betting Tips:


Winning golf betting tips? If you'd like to support me with a beer or 2, you can Buy me a beer here and be auto added to members tips mailing list. Very much optional but appreciated. Cheers lads.

Ross McGowan 400/80 to 1 (place), Tony Finau 50/1, Cam Champ 125/1, Cam Davis 125/1, Matt Jones 80/1 and FRL, Max Homa 60/1, Dean Burmester 55/1, Sam Burns 80/1, KH Lee 200/1, Sergio Garcia 70/1 (FRL), Thorbjorn Olesen 45/1 (FRL), Stewart Cink 150/1, Lucas Herbert 175/1 and 60/1

Best for Golf Betting

  • PGA Tour Official (stats)

  • European Tour (DP World)

  • OWGR.com (rankings and form)

  • Nicspicks Golf Betting Tips


Golf Betting Tips Strategy

  1. Course fit and strokes gained in golf betting
  2. Tips: How to win betting on golf online
  3. Ryder Cup betting tips
  4. Golf Betting Tips Guides


  5. Golf majors: The Masters - Open Championship - US PGA Championship - US Open. Tiger Woods.