Malaga v Atletico Tip

Malaga v Atletico Trade Of The Week
Back over 2.5 for 3units @ 1.9. Place a stop loss at half time if 0-0. This will return approximately 40% of your stake. If only two goals have been scored and the under 2.5 hits 1.3, trade out to recoup approximately 50% of your liability. This will be around the 85 minute mark.

Malaga v Atletico: Atletico Madrid have shipped 20 goals on the road in seven La Liga matches this season and conceded no less than 3 goals in each of their last four away games. A new era for Atletico madrid as Diego Simeone has taken the reigns and players will be looking to impress. Malaga's stats at home this season see over 2.5 goals hit in five of their seven home games and they have far from fulfilled their potential. Off the back of a 2:3 cracker in the cup at Real Madrid midweek, where Van Nistelrooy was back in the starting lineup. Both teams are full of attacking talent and vulnerable in defence and I'm expecting an open game.

Update: (Result) 0:0 I called this one completely wrong with Diego Simeone actually adopting a defensive strategy, dropping Adrian Lopez, and another manager in La Liga now adopting a variation of the 4-5-1 strategy, making for another dour game. The stop loss kicked in at half time for a 2 unit minus. Loss -2units.

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Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges.


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Angles and Edges: a journey through the evolution of golf betting and the markets

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Input up to date player and course data (from the upcoming course fit manual 2024) into this interactive golf betting model. My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats.

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds.

Interactive Progressive Form Golf Betting Model



To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

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Golf Betting Tips Strategy

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