NICSPICKS GOLF BETTING TIPS

New: Course Fit Manual 2022

Chelsea v Man City Tips

Man city travel to London on Monday night for the huge Premier League clash at the top end of the table. City will be looking to bounce back from Champions League disappointment while it will be the opposite for Chelsea, confidence high after guaranteeing themselves a last 16 place. Follow me on Twitter: @Nicspicks for more free football tips and updates

Chelsea v Man City key stats / Info

7/7 of Chelsea's home games have seen over 2.5 goals hit while 6/7 on the road in the Premier League for Man City have seen the over 2.5 hit, equating to an overall implied probability of 86%. Man City have hit the net 27 times on the road and Chelsea have netted 19 times in 7 league games. Both teams have hit the back of the net at the Bridge in 86% of Premier League games. Didier Drogba is in fine goal scoring form off the back of 3 goals in 2 games.

Potential lineups / game pattern

Villas Boas may choose to recall Frank Lampard who he hooked early last week in the Newcastle game and benched midweek in the Champions League. The front three may remain unchanged off the back of two 3:0 wins. Mancini may continue his new found attacking philosophy for Man City and Balotelli will possibly come in for Dzeko. If he does, expect him to cause problems for David Luiz ala Demba Ba last week when Chelsea push forward. Both teams will look to attack and Man City will be very dangerous on the counter attack with the pace of Aguero, guile of Silva and bursting runs from midfield of Yaya Toure if Chelsea push high up as they have been doing. Didier Drogba's confidence is high and Man City will have to keep an eye on the big man and look for the pacey and skillful Sturridge to be a key creative weapon for Chelsea.

Chelsea v Man City £50 Free Bet Offer with Bet365 - Click Here. Bet365 are offering a free in play bet up to £50 on the Chelsea v Man city game. Simply place a bet on the game pre match and place another to the same value in running up to £50 and if your first bet loses, Bet365 will return your stake. Perfect for backing the over 2.5 goals. More details.

Chelsea v Man City Advised Tips
Tip 1: Chelsea v Man City over 2.5 goals @ 1.84 (Betfair)
Tip 2: Both teams to score @ 4/6 (general)
Tip 3: Drogba to score for Chelsea @ 12/5 (Skybet)

For more top in play and betting tips, see the Premier Betting free bet banner at the top of the blog sidebar.

Golf Player Profiles



Please note that player attribute ratings are derived from the official PGA Tour and European Tour golf stats, and updated with a rolling average each golf betting year for precision.


Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the increasingly popular annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges.

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Expected strokes gained course fit (xSGF) can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating. For example: Sam Horsfield at Celtic Manor vs TPC Southwind. This number will also portray ability level in terms of strokes gained total. Click "find out more" under the course fit golf betting model for info.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Note: all the most accurate up to date player and course data to input into this interactive golf betting model is in the NicsPicks Course Fit Manual 2022


My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats... find out more

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds. For example - a player shows form of T40 - 24 - 24, but last week he was in the leading PGA Tour group on Sunday with Tiger Woods and had a bad round due to nerves. His finishing position may not fully capture his actual form.

Progressive Form Golf Betting Model



To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

Winning Golf Betting Tips:


Winning golf betting tips? If you'd like to support me with a beer or 2, you can Buy me a beer here and be auto added to members tips mailing list. Very much optional but appreciated. Cheers lads.

Ross McGowan 400/80 to 1 (place), Tony Finau 50/1, Cam Champ 125/1, Cam Davis 125/1, Matt Jones 80/1 and FRL, Max Homa 60/1, Dean Burmester 55/1, Sam Burns 80/1, KH Lee 200/1, Sergio Garcia 70/1 (FRL), Thorbjorn Olesen 45/1 (FRL), Stewart Cink 150/1, Lucas Herbert 175/1 and 60/1

Best for Golf Betting

  • PGA Tour Official (stats)

  • European Tour (DP World)

  • OWGR.com (rankings and form)

  • Nicspicks Golf Betting Tips


Golf Betting Tips Strategy

  1. Course fit and strokes gained in golf betting
  2. Tips: How to win betting on golf online
  3. Ryder Cup betting tips
  4. Golf Betting Tips Guides


  5. Golf majors: The Masters - Open Championship - US PGA Championship - US Open. Tiger Woods.