Villarreal 'B' v Man City Tips - Injury Woes

Huge night tonight for Manchester in Europe for the Red and Blue halves and Manchester City will not get a better chance to pick up three Champions League points than in their clash tonight against an injury hit and formless Vilarreal side. Villarreal, already without star strikers Rossi and Nilmar, both longterm absentees, suffered injuries to other key players v Vallecano on Saturday, with Cani and backup striker Marco Ruben both coming off early in the game.

Marcos Senna, Christian Zapata and Javier Camunas will also be missing for Villarreal. Man City will be licking their lips as this essentially leaves Villarreal with hardly any attacking or creative players. Hernan Perez, who has looked sharp this season is likely to be played in an advanced role and if Villarreal are to get anything from the game, he will need to step up. Man City have been conceeding goals of late and the Paraguayan does look great value at 7.8 on Betfair to sneak in under the radar and net for the home side. Villarreal are nothing like the team of the last few years. They find it hard to control the football and they are vulnerable at the back and barring complacency, Man City should take all three points.

Villarreal v Man City Advised Tips: For best goal scorer prices throughout the football season, visit

Tip 1: Man City win @ 4/6 (general)
Tip 2: Manchester City Asian Handicap (-1) @ 11/10 (Betfair)
Outside Tip: Draw / Man City half/fulltime @ 4/1 (Betfair)
Longshot Value: Hernan Perez anytime goal scorer @ 7.8 (Betfair)

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Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges.

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating.

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Input up to date player and course data (from the upcoming course fit manual 2024) into this interactive golf betting model. My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats.

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds.

Interactive Progressive Form Golf Betting Model

To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

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