Valencia v Real Madrid Tip

Valencia take on Real Madrid tonight in an intriguing fixture. Last year, Real Madrid's visit to Valencia resulted in a 6-3 away win but most of you won't know that in that game, Real Madrid actually went with a lot of their then back up players. Mourinho played a completely open attacking midfield and the market reacted wrongly to this and the over 2.5 actually drifted to odds against, which had me licking my lips. It won't be as open tonight with Emery this year adopting a much more defensive 4-2-3-1 Valencia formation, preferring to drop Aduriz and bring in an extra midfielder for most of the season so far, and Mourinho possibly to come with two holding midfielders for Real Madrid but we should still see some goals.

For top in play betting advice, see the Premier Betting free bet service on the top right of the page.

Trade of the week: Back over 2.5 goals in play at 1.8 for 5 units. Exit strategy: If 0-0 at half time, set a stop loss. This should see you return approximately 40% of your liability. If two goals have been scored when the under 2.5 price hits 1.4 (approx 85mins) trade out to return half of your initial stake.

Update (Result): Madrid had the lead at the break and things opened up in the second half with the game turning into a goal fest. Valencia 2:3 Real Madrid. Profit: + 4units.
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Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges.

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Input up to date player and course data (from the upcoming course fit manual 2024) into this interactive golf betting model. My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats.

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds.

Interactive Progressive Form Golf Betting Model

To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

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