Valencia v Real Madrid Tip

Valencia take on Real Madrid tonight in an intriguing fixture. Last year, Real Madrid's visit to Valencia resulted in a 6-3 away win but most of you won't know that in that game, Real Madrid actually went with a lot of their then back up players. Mourinho played a completely open attacking midfield and the market reacted wrongly to this and the over 2.5 actually drifted to odds against, which had me licking my lips. It won't be as open tonight with Emery this year adopting a much more defensive 4-2-3-1 Valencia formation, preferring to drop Aduriz and bring in an extra midfielder for most of the season so far, and Mourinho possibly to come with two holding midfielders for Real Madrid but we should still see some goals.

For top in play betting advice, see the Premier Betting free bet service on the top right of the page.

Trade of the week: Back over 2.5 goals in play at 1.8 for 5 units. Exit strategy: If 0-0 at half time, set a stop loss. This should see you return approximately 40% of your liability. If two goals have been scored when the under 2.5 price hits 1.4 (approx 85mins) trade out to return half of your initial stake.

Update (Result): Madrid had the lead at the break and things opened up in the second half with the game turning into a goal fest. Valencia 2:3 Real Madrid. Profit: + 4units.

Winning Golf Betting Tips:

Winning golf betting tips? If you'd like to support me with a beer or 2 from your winnings, I'd love if you Buy me a beer here

Golf Player Profiles

Please note that player attribute ratings are derived from the official PGA Tour and European Tour golf stats, and updated with a rolling average each golf betting year for precision.

Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the increasingly popular annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges and runs the Sharp Sports Bettors Blog.

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan also pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating. For example: Sam Horsfield at Celtic Manor vs TPC Southwind. This number will also portray ability level in terms of strokes gained total. Click "find out more" under the course fit golf betting model for info.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Note: all the most accurate up to date player and course data to input into this interactive golf betting model is in the NicsPicks Course Fit Manual 2022

My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats... find out more

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds. For example - a player shows form of T40 - 24 - 24, but last week he was in the leading PGA Tour group on Sunday with Tiger Woods and had a bad round due to nerves. His finishing position may not fully capture his actual form... See more with our calculators and betting tools

Progressive Form Golf Betting Model

To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

Best for Golf Betting

  • PGA Tour Official (stats)

  • European Tour (DP World)

  • (rankings and form)

  • Nicspicks Golf Betting Tips

Golf Betting Tips Strategy

  1. Course fit and strokes gained in golf betting
  2. Tips: How to win betting on golf online
  3. Ryder Cup betting tips
  4. Golf Betting Tips Guides
  5. Who are the best sports handicappers?

  6. Golf majors: The Masters 2022 preview and picks - Open Championship - US PGA Championship - US Open. Tiger Woods.