SA Open Day 2 Trade

I've been talking up Thomas Aiken on the blog and Twitter all week for the SA Open. The Serengeti course sets up perfectly for him with it's length and extremely wide fairways and he's now in prime position to strike after a good round 1 in the tougher conditions. Out early on day 2 and currently lurks 3 shots back on -4. If weather conditions are similar to today, with the early starters playing in gentle winds, we could see Aiken go low, both in terms of score and odds. A moderate round and we should be able to get out for no liability.

Trade of the week: Place 2 units on Thomas Aiken @ 20.0. Trade after round 2, if possible.

New To Trading? You'll need a Betfair account to get started. Create a Betfair account here for a free £25 no loss bet.

Update (Result): Aiken did indeed get off to a flyer and traded as low as 6.6 and some of you may have cashed in. Unfortunately he slowed down towards the back of his round and some of the later starters went well which pushed his price back out to 15.0, leaving us with +0.66pts profit. Please note that in the longrun, it's generally better to wait to trade at the end of the day's play.
Winning golf betting tips? If you'd like to support me with a beer or 2 from your winnings, I'd love if you Buy me a beer here, through the image, or revolut me @Bryannich

Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges.

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Input up to date player and course data (from the upcoming course fit manual 2024) into this interactive golf betting model. My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats.

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds.

Interactive Progressive Form Golf Betting Model

To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

Best for Golf Betting

Golf Betting Tips Strategy

  1. Course fit and strokes gained in golf betting
  2. Tips: How to win betting on golf online
  3. Ryder Cup betting tips
  4. Golf Betting Tips Guides
  5. Who are the best sports handicappers?

  6. GOLF MAJORS 2024: The Masters - US PGA Championship - US Open - Open Championship