Tournament In Running Golf Trading

Keep an eye on this section for free in running trading pointers, picks and advice in the main golf tour events. (unit scale 1-5units) You can access more in running trades from here

Please note that you must have a Betfair account to profit from my trades. This section should be used as a guide; ultimatley the point at which you exit winning trades is down to you and your trading style.

Northern Trust Open R4: 1pt Ryan Moore @ 40.0. Moore has been out of the picture for about 18 months of indifferent form, hence the big price at just 3 shots back. Notable course form and well suited to Riviera, Moore has posted 3 progressively better rounds thus far. If the trend continues, he will be contending down the stretch tonight.

Trading pointer: Place 1 unit on Moore @ 40.0 and look to trade out late in the round if he gets into the mix.

AT&T Pebble Beach:
Round 1 market leader trade: Dustin Johnson (24.0), a master of Pebble Beach, starts early on Thursday morning on said course. Has shot many low rounds here and another would see his price come in to single figures. If he goes well, the plan is to cover liabilities after R1 for a free bet or trade completely if price goes below 5.0. Advised stake: 1.5units. Update: Johnson did indeed get off to a fabulous start and now (Fri morning) trades as low as 4.4 leaving us with a more than healthy profit.
Winning golf betting tips? If you'd like to support me with a beer or 2 from your winnings, I'd love if you Buy me a beer here, through the image, or revolut me @Bryannich

Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges.

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Input up to date player and course data (from the upcoming course fit manual 2024) into this interactive golf betting model. My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats.

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds.

Interactive Progressive Form Golf Betting Model

To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

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