Bayern Munich v Villarreal Tip

Trade of the Week - Bayern Munich v Villarreal correct score. Place 2 units on 3:0 @ 8.0 and 1 unit each on 3:1 @ 13.0 and "any unquoted" @ 3.7 (insurance). Look to trade on 70mins if 3:0 or 3:1, or if either scoreline is hit between minute 70-85 mins. If 2:0 or 2:1 on 85, trade out for approximately scratch.

Options: 1 (Stoploss) If 0-0 at half time, set a stop loss.
2. (Insurance) - If 2:1 scoreline is hit and Villarreal are looking dangerous, place 0.5 units on them in the "Next goal" market. Follow me on Twitter: @Nicspicks for more tips, trades and updates.

Bayern Munich will be looking to all but wrap up top spot tonight as they take on a Villarreal side still struggling big time with injuries. Bayern drew a blank at the weekend but have scored 15 goals in their 4 previous home games. Villarreal still without any real fire power and have had to call up Joselu from their B team for extra attacking options.

Update(Result): Things were looking great at the break with the home side leading 2:0. You had the option of exiting then for 50% ROI and 2units of profit. Villarreal got one back and we took out 0.5units on them in the "next goal" market as insurance. Bayern then went 3:1 up on 70mins and we could trade out for a 3 unit overall profit. Profit: +3units.

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Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges.

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating.

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Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds.

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