2011 Barclays Singapore Open Picks

Barclays Singapore Open - Follow me on Twitter: @NICSPICKS

An over 200 strong field and one of the best in the European Tour season assembles for the 2011 Barclays Singapore Open this week. The event will be played on two courses at Sentosa - The Tanjong and the Serapong and with the Tanjong playing about 3 strokes easier last year, this is a key factor for betting and trading the early rounds. Both courses play to a par of 71 with the Tanjong course much shorter at 6625 yards long. At last year's Barclays Singapore Open, the top seven players after the first round all played the Tanjong course on day one.

Barclays Singapore Open picks - Three From The Pack

Pick 1: Graeme McDowell E/W @ 18/1 (General) 3rd and 5th in the Barclays Singapore Open the last two years running, admitted recently to 'liking the two courses' and two 3rd place finishes in his last three European Tour starts make the Irishman the man to beat in my book.

Pick 2: Louis Oosthuizen E/W @ 30/1 (Bet365) Form picking up for Louis after a poor season by his standards and driving ability will be key at the Barclays Singapore Open this week, especially on the lengthy Serapong track where three rounds will be played. Oosthuizen finished T7 last week and shot a fantastic 2nd round -9. If he puts it together this week, he could blitz the field like he did at the British Open Championship.

Pick 3: YE Yang @ 35/1 (Bet365) By all accounts heat will play a big part this week and it can't hurt going for players who will be used to the climate in Singapore and Yang, T8 in Shanghai two weeks ago, and who shot a weekend 66, 72 at the Serapong in last years Barclays Singapore Open for a top 20 finish, could feature here.

Barclays Singapore Open Sleeper Picks
Pick 4: Jeev Milkha Singh E/W @ 66/1 (Boyle) Winner of the Barclays Singapore Open in 2008, 23rd last week and 16th last year, shooting a -7 64 on the Tanjong course in round 2, Singh, who will also be well used to the high temperatures, has shown some signs of his form of old this year, in spurts. When the short stick is on, Singh can go low and mix it with the best.

Pick 5: Nicolas Colsaerts E/W @ 60/1 (general) 20th at the HSBC and a winner in Asia earlier this year, the talented Belgian takes my fancy this week due to his driving ability. He could possibly overpower the Tanjong and his length will stand him in good stead on the Serapong.

Things to note: 1. Most bookmakers paying 6 places this week at the Barlays Singapore Open. 2. With the Tanjong course likely to play numerous shots easier, it may be worth looking at the first round leader market. I'll mention a few names on Twitter when the tee times come out. kikuyu grass on Twitter.

Note: If you're betting E/W, take advantage of Bet365's offer up to £200 in free bets to use on this week's Barclays singapore Open.

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Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the increasingly popular annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges and runs the Sharp Sports Bettors Blog.

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan also pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating. For example: Sam Horsfield at Celtic Manor vs TPC Southwind. This number will also portray ability level in terms of strokes gained total. Click "find out more" under the course fit golf betting model for info.

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Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds. For example - a player shows form of T40 - 24 - 24, but last week he was in the leading PGA Tour group on Sunday with Tiger Woods and had a bad round due to nerves. His finishing position may not fully capture his actual form... See more with our calculators and betting tools

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