Chelsea v Arsenal Tips

Cracking looking Premier league fixture this Saturday morning as Chelsea take on Arsenal at Stamford Bridge. Arsenal are being written off in many areas even though they are on the back of a great recent run of form in all competitions. Robin Van Persie will lead the line for the Gunners and looks over priced to hit the net @ 27/11 (Unibet). Stamford Bridge consists of a small playing area and VP, who continues an excellent 2011 scoring spree, should get plenty of shooting opportunity.

For Chelsea, Fernando Torres is welcomed back after the Premier League defeat to QPR and you've got to fancy him against this Arsenal back line, expecially if they push on. Torres' pace in behind and link play with Mata, backed up by the passing ability of Meireles and Lampard should rip open the Arsenal defence on numerous occasions if Wenger decides to play the high line. Arsenal themselves will be looking to exploit the Chelsea defense with pace in wide areas and the dodgy David Luiz and a John Terry who has his mind on other things may struggle to cope. We should see an open end to end game when Chelsea meet Arsenal tomorrow morning and I fancy Torres will make the difference for the home side. Expect chances.

Chelsea v Arsenal Advised Tips
Tip 1: Fernando Torres anytime scorer @ 5/4 (Unibet)
Tip 2: Chelsea win @ 7/10 (general)
Tip 3: Over 2.5 goals @ 8/11 (general)
Tip 4: Home goals over 1.5 @ 8/13 (general)

Longshot value: Robin Van Persie to score from outside the box @ 8/1 (B/sq) | Torres to score a brace @ 6/1 (Unibet)

Note: Goal scorer prices and specials on Nicspicks with Unibet.com

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Please note that player attribute ratings are derived from the official PGA Tour and European Tour golf stats, and updated with a rolling average each golf betting year for precision.


Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the increasingly popular annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges and runs the Sharp Sports Bettors Blog.

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan also pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating. For example: Sam Horsfield at Celtic Manor vs TPC Southwind. This number will also portray ability level in terms of strokes gained total. Click "find out more" under the course fit golf betting model for info.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Note: all the most accurate up to date player and course data to input into this interactive golf betting model is in the NicsPicks Course Fit Manual 2022


My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats... find out more

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds. For example - a player shows form of T40 - 24 - 24, but last week he was in the leading PGA Tour group on Sunday with Tiger Woods and had a bad round due to nerves. His finishing position may not fully capture his actual form... See more with our calculators and betting tools

Progressive Form Golf Betting Model



To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

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