Real Sociedad v Barcelona Tips - Cesc Value

Barcelona are short priced favourites tonight against Real Sociedad, a side that last season gave everyone a tough game at their home ground. Sociedad play with an in your face style approach and it may not be as easy for Barcelona as their price suggests. Guardiola left out David Villa in Barcelona's opening game and opted to use Fabregas in an advanced position which was something that caught my attention straight away in the hope of getting some value early on in the season in the anytime goal scorer market on Cesc. Unibet have obliged, pricing him at 3.35 compared to evens in some books, continuing their excellent value prices in the market. There could be some value in backing against Barcelona this season with their prices so short. I expect them to get all 3 points tonight in the end but they will need to work for it.

Real Sociedad v Barcelona Advised Tips:
Tip 1: Cesc Fabregas anytime scorer @ 40/17(Unibet)
Tip 2: Dutch Barcelona to win by 2 or 3 goals @ 2.31 (best prices)

Anytime goalscorer prices on Nicspicks generally with Unibet and Betfair for best prices throughout the season. For more La Liga tips, see my football services in sidebar.
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Bryan Nicholson is the pioneer of the progressive form and course fit ratings for golf betting, with the associated progressive form model and course fit profiling model. Bryan is the author of the annual course fit profiling manual and #1 golf betting book Angles & Edges.

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Angles and Edges: a journey through the evolution of golf betting and the markets

What is expected Strokes Gained Course Fit ?

Bryan pioneered the concept of Expected Strokes Gained Course Fit (xSGF) in golf betting. xSGF can be predicted using my model below. For prospective golf betting tips it projects ahead of time how many shots a player is expected to pick up per round on average on a particular golf course. It's weighed against a neutral golf course of the same rating.

Golf Betting Tips Model

Input up to date player and course data (from the upcoming course fit manual 2024) into this interactive golf betting model. My course fit profiling model for golf betting tips uses highly evolved golf nuance and betting intuition, precise parameters and inputs based on Bayesian analysis, plus years of empirical evidence through observing, betting and documenting golf and stats.

What is Progressive Form in Golf Betting?

Progressive form in golf betting differs from current form in that players are showing a trend in the right direction in their recent scoring. Trending form has a high predictive value in golf betting and can also catch players under the radar at an inflated price vs their true betting odds.

Interactive Progressive Form Golf Betting Model



To check the latest player finishing positions for golf betting tips see the official world golf rankings and search/click a golfer. Input these numbers into the interactive golf model above, following the guide.

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